Hearts vs Aberdeen

Wed 02 Dec, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hearts win · Most likely 60.0%
Draw 22.6%
Aberdeen win 17.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 78%
Over 2.5 goals 50%Avg 56%
Hearts clean sheet 41%Avg 32%
Aberdeen clean sheet 16%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 74%
Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 62%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.9%
2-010.9%
2-19.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hearts
  • Aberdeen

Did you know?

  • Hearts's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Hearts have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Hearts beat Aberdeen 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Hearts have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 17 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Aug 26 Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts
28 Feb 26 Hearts 1–0 Aberdeen
23 Nov 25 Aberdeen 1–0 Hearts
04 Aug 25 Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen
12 Jan 25 Aberdeen 0–0 Hearts
01 Dec 24 Hearts 1–1 Aberdeen
06 Oct 24 Aberdeen 3–2 Hearts
27 Jan 24 Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen
09 Dec 23 Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts
16 Sep 23 Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen
20 May 23 Hearts 2–1 Aberdeen
18 Mar 23 Aberdeen 3–0 Hearts
18 Jan 23 Hearts 5–0 Aberdeen
16 Oct 22 Aberdeen 2–0 Hearts
02 Mar 22 Hearts 2–0 Aberdeen
30 Oct 21 Aberdeen 2–1 Hearts
22 Aug 21 Hearts 1–1 Aberdeen
17meetings
  • Hearts win · 7 (41%)
  • Draw · 3 (18%)
  • Aberdeen win · 7 (41%)
Avg. total goals 2.41 League avg: 2.87
Over 2.5 goals 41% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 41% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 82% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.53 League avg: 10.63
Avg. total cards 5.35 League avg: 4.00
Hearts avg. goals 1.35 League avg: 1.43
Aberdeen avg. goals 1.06 League avg: 1.43

Biggest win: Hearts 5–0 Aberdeen (18 Jan 23).

Hearts vs Aberdeen head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Hearts have won 7 times, Aberdeen have won 7 times and 3 ended in a draw. Hearts scored 23 goals and Aberdeen scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Aug 2026, was won 2-1 by Aberdeen, at home against Hearts. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 17 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Hearts kept 7 clean sheets and Aberdeen kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Hearts
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Aberdeen
  • Crosses and headers
  • Set piece heavy
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 4th of 12 47% 7th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 11th of 12 0.10 xG a shot 9th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    31% of xG 4th of 12 34% of xG 3rd of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 5th of 12 22% of shots 1st of 12

Where they differ

  • Aberdeen go more through the air than Hearts, 22% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hearts Aberdeen
23 (2.3 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
162 (16.2 avg) Total Shots 132 (13.2 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Shots on Target 35 (3.5 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Blocked Shots 45 (4.5 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Corners 60 (6.0 avg)
762 (76.2 avg) Attacks 813 (81.3 avg)
466 (46.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 452 (45.2 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Key Passes 92 (9.2 avg)
4489 (448.9 avg) Passes 3984 (398.4 avg)
3617 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3077 (77%)
53% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hearts Aberdeen
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
18 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
177 (17.7 avg) Tackles 180 (18.0 avg)
118 (11.8 avg) Fouls 122 (12.2 avg)
15 (1.7 avg) Offsides 20 (2.5 avg)
605 (60.5 avg) Duels Won 485 (48.5 avg)
208 (20.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 160 (16.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hearts

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Aberdeen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)