Lens vs Marseille

Sun 08 Nov, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 10 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lens win · Most likely 58.2%
Draw 21.4%
Marseille win 20.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 66%Avg 55%
Lens clean sheet 28%Avg 30%
Marseille clean sheet 11%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 63%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.6%
2-07.4%
3-16.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lens
  • Marseille

Did you know?

  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Lens have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • Lens's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Lens have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Marseille 3–1 Lens
25 Oct 25 Lens 2–1 Marseille
08 Mar 25 Marseille 0–1 Lens
23 Nov 24 Lens 1–3 Marseille
28 Apr 24 Marseille 2–1 Lens
12 Nov 23 Lens 1–0 Marseille
06 May 23 Lens 2–1 Marseille
22 Oct 22 Marseille 0–1 Lens
22 Jan 22 Lens 0–2 Marseille
26 Sep 21 Marseille 2–3 Lens
03 Feb 21 Lens 2–2 Marseille
20 Jan 21 Marseille 0–1 Lens
12meetings
  • Lens win · 7 (58%)
  • Draw · 1 (8%)
  • Marseille win · 4 (33%)
Avg. total goals 2.67 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 58% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 58% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 42% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.42 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 5.08 League avg: 3.80
Lens avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.44
Marseille avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Marseille 3–1 Lens (24 Jan 26).

Lens vs Marseille head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Lens have won 7 times, Marseille have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Lens scored 16 goals and Marseille scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, was won 3-1 by Marseille, at home against Lens. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 12 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Lens kept 4 clean sheets and Marseille kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lens Marseille
11 (1.8 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
89 (14.8 avg) Total Shots 71 (11.8 avg)
39 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 26 (4.3 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
42 (7.0 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
520 (86.7 avg) Attacks 707 (117.8 avg)
264 (44.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 352 (58.7 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Key Passes 50 (8.3 avg)
2883 (480.5 avg) Passes 3548 (591.3 avg)
2483 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3152 (89%)
51% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lens Marseille
2 (0.3 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
104 (17.3 avg) Tackles 82 (13.7 avg)
70 (11.7 avg) Fouls 63 (10.5 avg)
11 (1.8 avg) Offsides 7 (1.4 avg)
278 (46.3 avg) Duels Won 256 (42.7 avg)
68 (11.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lens

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)