Marseille vs Lens

Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Marseille win · Most likely 41.1%
Draw 23.7%
Lens win 35.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 69%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 86%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 67%Avg 55%
Marseille clean sheet 18%Avg 30%
Lens clean sheet 16%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 74%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.4%
1-05.4%
3-15.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Marseille
  • Lens

Did you know?

  • Lens have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.
  • Lens have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Lens's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Marseille 3–1 Lens
25 Oct 25 Lens 2–1 Marseille
08 Mar 25 Marseille 0–1 Lens
23 Nov 24 Lens 1–3 Marseille
28 Apr 24 Marseille 2–1 Lens
12 Nov 23 Lens 1–0 Marseille
06 May 23 Lens 2–1 Marseille
22 Oct 22 Marseille 0–1 Lens
22 Jan 22 Lens 0–2 Marseille
26 Sep 21 Marseille 2–3 Lens
03 Feb 21 Lens 2–2 Marseille
20 Jan 21 Marseille 0–1 Lens
12meetings
  • Marseille win · 4 (33%)
  • Draw · 1 (8%)
  • Lens win · 7 (58%)
Avg. total goals 2.67 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 58% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 58% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 42% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.42 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 5.08 League avg: 3.80
Marseille avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.44
Lens avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Marseille 3–1 Lens (24 Jan 26).

Marseille vs Lens head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Marseille have won 4 times, Lens have won 7 times and 1 ended in a draw. Marseille scored 16 goals and Lens scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, was won 3-1 by Marseille, at home against Lens. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 12 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Marseille kept 1 clean sheet and Lens kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lens
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 14 (2.0 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 102 (14.6 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 42 (6.0 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 22 (3.1 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 46 (6.6 avg)
707 (117.8 avg) Attacks 609 (87.0 avg)
352 (58.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 301 (43.0 avg)
50 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 82 (11.7 avg)
3548 (591.3 avg) Passes 3423 (489.0 avg)
3152 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2937 (86%)
58% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lens
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.3 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.0 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Tackles 119 (17.0 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 81 (11.6 avg)
7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 12 (1.7 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Duels Won 317 (45.3 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 75 (10.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Lens

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)