Liverpool vs Chelsea

Sat 01 May, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 34 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Liverpool win · Most likely 46.5%
Draw 26.1%
Chelsea win 27.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Liverpool clean sheet 27%Avg 26%
Chelsea clean sheet 18%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 68%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-07.6%
2-07.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Liverpool
  • Chelsea

Did you know?

  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Chelsea have outscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Chelsea's last 10 matches.
  • Chelsea's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
09 May 26 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
04 Oct 25 Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool
04 May 25 Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool
20 Oct 24 Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea
31 Jan 24 Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea
13 Aug 23 Chelsea 1–1 Liverpool
04 Apr 23 Chelsea 0–0 Liverpool
21 Jan 23 Liverpool 0–0 Chelsea
02 Jan 22 Chelsea 2–2 Liverpool
28 Aug 21 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
04 Mar 21 Liverpool 0–1 Chelsea
20 Sep 20 Chelsea 0–2 Liverpool
22 Jul 20 Liverpool 5–3 Chelsea
22 Sep 19 Chelsea 1–2 Liverpool
14 Apr 19 Liverpool 2–0 Chelsea
29 Sep 18 Chelsea 1–1 Liverpool
16meetings
  • Liverpool win · 6 (38%)
  • Draw · 7 (44%)
  • Chelsea win · 3 (19%)
Avg. total goals 2.69 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.31 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.56 League avg: 3.91
Liverpool avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.42
Chelsea avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea (31 Jan 24).

Liverpool vs Chelsea head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Liverpool have won 6 times, Chelsea have won 3 times and 7 ended in a draw. Liverpool scored 25 goals and Chelsea scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 9 May 2026, ended 1-1 at Liverpool. Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Liverpool kept 4 clean sheets and Chelsea kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Liverpool Chelsea
9 (1.3 avg) Goals 17 (2.4 avg)
110 (15.7 avg) Total Shots 100 (14.3 avg)
35 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 39 (5.6 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Blocked Shots 30 (4.3 avg)
35 (5.0 avg) Corners 41 (5.9 avg)
800 (114.3 avg) Attacks 653 (93.3 avg)
389 (55.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
81 (11.6 avg) Key Passes 76 (10.9 avg)
3371 (481.6 avg) Passes 2985 (426.4 avg)
2854 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2492 (83%)
56% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Liverpool Chelsea
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (1.9 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Tackles 108 (15.4 avg)
97 (13.9 avg) Fouls 65 (9.3 avg)
16 (2.3 avg) Offsides 8 (1.3 avg)
342 (48.9 avg) Duels Won 348 (49.7 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (15.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Liverpool

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Chelsea

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)