Luzern vs Lugano

Sun 29 Nov, 13:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Luzern win 37.0%
Draw 24.8%
Lugano win · Most likely 38.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 68%Avg 66%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 65%Avg 64%
Luzern clean sheet 18%Avg 22%
Lugano clean sheet 18%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 57%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 87%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.2%
0-15.3%
0-24.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Luzern
  • Lugano

Did you know?

  • Luzern have conceded in each of their last 9 matches.
  • Lugano have picked up 3.2 cards per game over their last 10, well above the league average of 1.6.
  • Lugano have outscored their xG by 1.00 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Lugano's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Oct 26 Lugano 4–0 Luzern
07 Mar 26 Lugano 1–3 Luzern
17 Jan 26 Luzern 2–5 Lugano
30 Oct 25 Lugano 2–0 Luzern
04 May 25 Luzern 0–2 Lugano
15 Feb 25 Lugano 2–0 Luzern
07 Dec 24 Luzern 1–4 Lugano
11 Aug 24 Lugano 2–3 Luzern
03 Mar 24 Luzern 0–1 Lugano
03 Dec 23 Lugano 1–0 Luzern
03 Sep 23 Luzern 3–2 Lugano
11meetings
  • Luzern win · 3 (27%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Lugano win · 8 (73%)
Avg. total goals 3.45 League avg: 3.28
Over 2.5 goals 55% League avg: 64%
Both teams to score 45% League avg: 66%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.50 League avg: 10.44
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 4.81
Luzern avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.64
Lugano avg. goals 2.36 League avg: 1.64

Biggest win: Lugano 4–0 Luzern (10 Oct 26).

Luzern vs Lugano head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Luzern have won 3 times, Lugano have won 8 times and none ended in a draw. Luzern scored 12 goals and Lugano scored 26 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Oct 2026, was won 4-0 by Lugano, at home against Luzern. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 11 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Lugano kept 6.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Luzern
  • Plays on the floor
Lugano
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 7th of 12 54% 2nd of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 6th of 12 0.11 xG a shot 5th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 7th of 12 26% of xG 6th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    14% of shots 12th of 12 20% of shots 3rd of 12

Where they differ

  • Lugano go more through the air than Luzern, 20% of shots against 14%.
  • Lugano see much more of the ball than Luzern, 54% against 49%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Luzern Lugano
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 25 (2.5 avg)
177 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 164 (16.4 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Shots on Target 56 (5.6 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Blocked Shots 44 (4.4 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
839 (83.9 avg) Attacks 809 (80.9 avg)
483 (48.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 406 (40.6 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Key Passes 121 (12.1 avg)
3860 (386.0 avg) Passes 4877 (487.7 avg)
2981 (77%) Pass Accuracy 4224 (87%)
47% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Luzern Lugano
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 30 (3.0 avg)
169 (16.9 avg) Tackles 156 (15.6 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Fouls 135 (13.5 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 11 (1.1 avg)
467 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 474 (47.4 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 129 (12.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Luzern

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Lugano

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)