Mainz vs Bayern Munich

Sat 07 Nov, 14:30 UTC · Matchweek 9 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win 23.1%
Draw 21.2%
Bayern Munich win · Most likely 55.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 70%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 88%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 71%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 10%Avg 26%
Bayern Munich clean sheet 23%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 48%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.0%
1-36.7%
0-26.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Bayern Munich

Did you know?

  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 16 of their last 16 meetings.
  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Bayern Munich beat Mainz 8-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Both teams have scored in 14 of the last 16 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Apr 26 Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich
14 Dec 25 Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz
26 Apr 25 Bayern Munich 3–0 Mainz
14 Dec 24 Mainz 2–1 Bayern Munich
09 Mar 24 Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz
21 Oct 23 Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich
22 Apr 23 Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich
29 Oct 22 Bayern Munich 6–2 Mainz
30 Apr 22 Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich
11 Dec 21 Bayern Munich 2–1 Mainz
24 Apr 21 Mainz 2–1 Bayern Munich
03 Jan 21 Bayern Munich 5–2 Mainz
01 Feb 20 Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich
31 Aug 19 Bayern Munich 6–1 Mainz
17 Mar 19 Bayern Munich 6–0 Mainz
27 Oct 18 Mainz 1–2 Bayern Munich
16meetings
  • Mainz win · 4 (25%)
  • Draw · 1 (6%)
  • Bayern Munich win · 11 (69%)
Avg. total goals 4.94 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 88% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 69% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.88 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.88 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.60
Bayern Munich avg. goals 3.38 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz (09 Mar 24).

Mainz vs Bayern Munich head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Mainz have won 4 times, Bayern Munich have won 11 times and 1 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 25 goals and Bayern Munich scored 54 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, was won 4-3 by Bayern Munich, away at Mainz. Bayern Munich are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 14 of 16 and 16 had over 2.5 goals. Bayern Munich kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Bayern Munich
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 16 (3.2 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 116 (23.2 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 45 (9.0 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (7.0 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 47 (9.4 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 765 (153.0 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 505 (101.0 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 97 (19.4 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 3569 (713.8 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 3207 (90%)
51% Ball Possession 70%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Bayern Munich
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 4 (0.8 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 65 (13.0 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 48 (9.6 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 237 (47.4 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 52 (10.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Bayern Munich

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)