Bayern Munich vs Mainz

Sat 13 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bayern Munich win · Most likely 78.2%
Draw 12.6%
Mainz win 9.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 70%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 94%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 84%Avg 62%
Bayern Munich clean sheet 27%Avg 26%
Mainz clean sheet 4%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

3-17.7%
2-16.9%
4-16.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bayern Munich
  • Mainz

Did you know?

  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 16 of their last 16 meetings.
  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Bayern Munich beat Mainz 8-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Bayern Munich have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Apr 26 Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich
14 Dec 25 Bayern Munich 2–2 Mainz
26 Apr 25 Bayern Munich 3–0 Mainz
14 Dec 24 Mainz 2–1 Bayern Munich
09 Mar 24 Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz
21 Oct 23 Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich
22 Apr 23 Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich
29 Oct 22 Bayern Munich 6–2 Mainz
30 Apr 22 Mainz 3–1 Bayern Munich
11 Dec 21 Bayern Munich 2–1 Mainz
24 Apr 21 Mainz 2–1 Bayern Munich
03 Jan 21 Bayern Munich 5–2 Mainz
01 Feb 20 Mainz 1–3 Bayern Munich
31 Aug 19 Bayern Munich 6–1 Mainz
17 Mar 19 Bayern Munich 6–0 Mainz
27 Oct 18 Mainz 1–2 Bayern Munich
16meetings
  • Bayern Munich win · 11 (69%)
  • Draw · 1 (6%)
  • Mainz win · 4 (25%)
Avg. total goals 4.94 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 88% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 69% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.88 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.88 League avg: 3.82
Bayern Munich avg. goals 3.38 League avg: 1.60
Mainz avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Bayern Munich 8–1 Mainz (09 Mar 24).

Bayern Munich vs Mainz head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Bayern Munich have won 11 times, Mainz have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Bayern Munich scored 54 goals and Mainz scored 25 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, was won 4-3 by Bayern Munich, away at Mainz. Bayern Munich are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 14 of 16 and 16 had over 2.5 goals. Bayern Munich kept 2 clean sheets.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bayern Munich Mainz
22 (3.7 avg) Goals 14 (2.3 avg)
145 (24.2 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Shots on Target 36 (6.0 avg)
44 (7.3 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (4.3 avg)
58 (9.7 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
896 (149.3 avg) Attacks 628 (104.7 avg)
574 (95.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (53.0 avg)
123 (20.5 avg) Key Passes 81 (13.5 avg)
4235 (705.8 avg) Passes 2676 (446.0 avg)
3807 (90%) Pass Accuracy 2139 (80%)
69% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bayern Munich Mainz
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
5 (0.8 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.3 avg)
78 (13.0 avg) Tackles 102 (17.0 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 83 (13.8 avg)
16 (2.7 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
262 (43.7 avg) Duels Won 315 (52.5 avg)
55 (9.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (20.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bayern Munich

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)