Mainz vs Union Berlin

Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 UTC · Matchweek 11 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 54.6%
Draw 24.1%
Union Berlin win 21.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 32%Avg 26%
Union Berlin clean sheet 15%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-110.0%
1-09.2%
2-08.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Union Berlin

Did you know?

  • Union Berlin have lost to Mainz just once in their last 14 meetings.
  • Union Berlin's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Union Berlin's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Mainz have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 May 26 Mainz 1–3 Union Berlin
10 Jan 26 Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz
19 Jan 25 Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz
24 Aug 24 Mainz 1–1 Union Berlin
07 Feb 24 Mainz 1–1 Union Berlin
20 Aug 23 Union Berlin 4–1 Mainz
04 Feb 23 Union Berlin 2–1 Mainz
14 Aug 22 Mainz 0–0 Union Berlin
26 Feb 22 Union Berlin 3–1 Mainz
03 Oct 21 Mainz 1–2 Union Berlin
06 Feb 21 Mainz 1–0 Union Berlin
02 Oct 20 Union Berlin 4–0 Mainz
27 May 20 Union Berlin 1–1 Mainz
09 Nov 19 Mainz 2–3 Union Berlin
14meetings
  • Mainz win · 1 (7%)
  • Draw · 5 (36%)
  • Union Berlin win · 8 (57%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 79% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 43% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.14 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.93 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.60
Union Berlin avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Union Berlin 4–0 Mainz (02 Oct 20).

Mainz vs Union Berlin head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Mainz have won once, Union Berlin have won 8 times and 5 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 14 goals and Union Berlin scored 28 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 May 2026, was won 3-1 by Union Berlin, away at Mainz. Union Berlin are unbeaten in the last 10 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 14 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 2 clean sheets and Union Berlin kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Union Berlin
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 5 (0.8 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 77 (12.8 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 27 (4.5 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 24 (4.0 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 24 (4.0 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 563 (93.8 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 308 (51.3 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 55 (9.2 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 2153 (358.8 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 1605 (75%)
51% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Union Berlin
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.5 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 105 (17.5 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 70 (11.7 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 13 (2.2 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 306 (51.0 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 108 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Union Berlin

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)