Match summary
Mainz won 1-0 at home to Union Berlin. Mainz led 1-0 at half-time.
Moussa Niakhate put Mainz ahead from the penalty spot in the 22nd minute.
The chances backed that up: Mainz created 2.21 expected goals (xG) from 10 shots to Union Berlin's 0.94 from 11. Union Berlin had a player sent off.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
31%
Avg odds 3.04
Draw
30%
Avg odds 3.20
Union Berlin win
39%
Avg odds 2.47
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.