Newcastle vs Brighton

Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Newcastle win · Most likely 37.3%
Draw 26.8%
Brighton win 35.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Newcastle clean sheet 22%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 21%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.5%
1-06.6%
2-05.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Newcastle
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Newcastle's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Brighton have scored in 6 consecutive matches.
  • Newcastle have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Newcastle's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
02 May 26 Newcastle 3–1 Brighton
18 Oct 25 Brighton 2–1 Newcastle
04 May 25 Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
19 Oct 24 Newcastle 0–1 Brighton
11 May 24 Newcastle 1–1 Brighton
02 Sep 23 Brighton 3–1 Newcastle
18 May 23 Newcastle 4–1 Brighton
13 Aug 22 Brighton 0–0 Newcastle
05 Mar 22 Newcastle 2–1 Brighton
06 Nov 21 Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
20 Mar 21 Brighton 3–0 Newcastle
20 Sep 20 Newcastle 0–3 Brighton
20 Jul 20 Brighton 0–0 Newcastle
21 Sep 19 Newcastle 0–0 Brighton
27 Apr 19 Brighton 1–1 Newcastle
20 Oct 18 Newcastle 0–1 Brighton
16meetings
  • Newcastle win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 7 (44%)
  • Brighton win · 6 (38%)
Avg. total goals 2.19 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.75 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.44 League avg: 3.91
Newcastle avg. goals 0.94 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 4–1 Brighton (18 May 23).

Newcastle vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Newcastle have won 3 times, Brighton have won 6 times and 7 ended in a draw. Newcastle scored 15 goals and Brighton scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 2 May 2026, was won 3-1 by Newcastle, at home against Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Newcastle kept 3 clean sheets and Brighton kept 7.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Brighton
10 (1.4 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
85 (12.1 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
32 (4.6 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
596 (85.1 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
316 (45.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
67 (9.6 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
2991 (427.3 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
2503 (84%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
52% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Brighton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
85 (12.1 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
335 (47.9 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
117 (16.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)