Norwich vs Derby

Tue 26 Jan, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 28 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Norwich win · Most likely 46.7%
Draw 26.5%
Derby win 26.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 51%
Norwich clean sheet 31%Avg 28%
Derby clean sheet 20%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 64%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.9%
2-19.4%
2-07.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Norwich
  • Derby

Did you know?

  • Norwich have outscored their xG by 1.09 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • Derby have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Derby have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Norwich's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
03 Nov 26 Derby 0–4 Norwich
21 Apr 26 Norwich 2–1 Derby
21 Oct 25 Derby 1–0 Norwich
08 Feb 25 Norwich 1–1 Derby
28 Sep 24 Derby 2–3 Norwich
5meetings
  • Norwich win · 3 (60%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Derby win · 1 (20%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.80 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.60 League avg: 3.82
Norwich avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Derby avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Derby 0–4 Norwich (03 Nov 26).

Norwich vs Derby head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Norwich have won 3 times, Derby have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Norwich scored 10 goals and Derby scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 3 Nov 2026, was won 4-0 by Norwich, away at Derby. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Norwich kept 1 clean sheet and Derby kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Norwich
  • Open play side
Derby
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 8th of 24 48% 15th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 14th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 21st of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    18% of xG 23rd of 24 36% of xG 5th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 17th of 24 20% of shots 9th of 24

Where they differ

  • Derby get more of their chances from set pieces than Norwich, 36% against 18%.
  • Derby go more through the air than Norwich, 20% of shots against 16%.
  • Norwich wait for better chances than Derby, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Norwich Derby
24 (2.4 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 129 (12.9 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Blocked Shots 41 (4.1 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Corners 57 (5.7 avg)
776 (77.6 avg) Attacks 720 (80.0 avg)
407 (40.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 408 (45.3 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Key Passes 90 (9.0 avg)
4394 (439.4 avg) Passes 3844 (384.4 avg)
3478 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3007 (78%)
52% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Norwich Derby
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Fouls 112 (11.2 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Offsides 26 (2.6 avg)
505 (50.5 avg) Duels Won 503 (50.3 avg)
159 (15.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 180 (18.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Norwich

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Derby

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)