Nurnberg vs St Pauli

Sat 20 Mar, 10:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nurnberg win · Most likely 52.0%
Draw 24.4%
St Pauli win 23.6%

Limited history for St Pauli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 58%
Nurnberg clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
St Pauli clean sheet 16%Avg 18%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 84%Avg 83%
Over 3.5 cards 67%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
1-08.6%
2-07.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nurnberg
  • St Pauli

Did you know?

  • St Pauli have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nurnberg have outscored their xG by 0.68 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • St Pauli have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • St Pauli beat Nurnberg 5-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Nov 26 St Pauli 1–3 Nurnberg
16 Mar 24 Nurnberg 0–2 St Pauli
07 Oct 23 St Pauli 5–1 Nurnberg
29 Jan 23 Nurnberg 0–1 St Pauli
16 Jul 22 St Pauli 3–2 Nurnberg
29 Apr 22 St Pauli 1–1 Nurnberg
28 Nov 21 Nurnberg 2–3 St Pauli
7meetings
  • Nurnberg win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • St Pauli win · 5 (71%)
Avg. total goals 3.57 League avg: 2.95
Over 2.5 goals 57% League avg: 58%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 9.43 League avg: 10.37
Avg. total cards 3.86 League avg: 4.51
Nurnberg avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.47
St Pauli avg. goals 2.29 League avg: 1.47

Biggest win: St Pauli 5–1 Nurnberg (07 Oct 23).

Nurnberg vs St Pauli head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Nurnberg have won once, St Pauli have won 5 times and 1 ended in a draw. Nurnberg scored 9 goals and St Pauli scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Nov 2026, was won 3-1 by Nurnberg, away at St Pauli. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 7 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. St Pauli kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nurnberg
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
St Pauli
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 2nd of 18 49% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 14th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 10th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    19% of xG 16th of 18 25% of xG 11th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 3rd of 18 17% of shots 8th of 18

Where they differ

  • Nurnberg see much more of the ball than St Pauli, 54% against 49%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nurnberg St Pauli
23 (2.3 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
191 (19.1 avg) Total Shots 148 (14.8 avg)
68 (6.8 avg) Shots on Target 48 (4.8 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Blocked Shots 40 (4.0 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Corners 53 (5.3 avg)
565 (94.2 avg) Attacks 542 (77.4 avg)
281 (46.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 294 (42.0 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Key Passes 106 (10.6 avg)
5130 (513.0 avg) Passes 4492 (449.2 avg)
4443 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3650 (81%)
58% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nurnberg St Pauli
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 27 (2.7 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Tackles 176 (17.6 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Fouls 130 (13.0 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 30 (3.0 avg)
459 (45.9 avg) Duels Won 485 (48.5 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 123 (12.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nurnberg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

St Pauli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)