Real Valladolid vs Ceuta

Sun 17 Jan, 19:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Real Valladolid win · Most likely 61.1%
Draw 21.8%
Ceuta win 17.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 50%
Real Valladolid clean sheet 37%Avg 32%
Ceuta clean sheet 14%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 52%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 91%Avg 87%
Over 3.5 cards 80%Avg 75%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.5%
2-010.0%
2-19.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Real Valladolid
  • Ceuta

Did you know?

  • Ceuta's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Ceuta have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Ceuta have underscored their xG by 0.65 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Ceuta have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
20 Sep 26 Ceuta 1–1 Real Valladolid
17 Jan 26 Ceuta 0–3 Real Valladolid
15 Aug 25 Real Valladolid 3–0 Ceuta
3meetings
  • Real Valladolid win · 2 (67%)
  • Draw · 1 (33%)
  • Ceuta win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.67 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.39
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 5.42
Real Valladolid avg. goals 2.33 League avg: 1.31
Ceuta avg. goals 0.33 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Ceuta 0–3 Real Valladolid (17 Jan 26).

Real Valladolid vs Ceuta head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Real Valladolid have won 2 times, Ceuta have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Real Valladolid scored 7 goals and Ceuta scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Ceuta. Real Valladolid are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Real Valladolid kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Real Valladolid
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
Ceuta
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 10th of 18 51% 7th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 8th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    42% of xG 1st of 18 21% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 1st of 18 17% of shots 13th of 18

Where they differ

  • Real Valladolid go more through the air than Ceuta, 25% of shots against 17%.
  • Real Valladolid get more of their chances from set pieces than Ceuta, 42% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Real Valladolid Ceuta
20 (2.0 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
140 (14.0 avg) Total Shots 175 (17.5 avg)
60 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 50 (5.0 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 55 (5.5 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 71 (7.1 avg)
807 (80.7 avg) Attacks 756 (75.6 avg)
406 (40.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 427 (42.7 avg)
104 (10.4 avg) Key Passes 120 (12.0 avg)
4024 (402.4 avg) Passes 4068 (406.8 avg)
3302 (82%) Pass Accuracy 3312 (81%)
49% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Real Valladolid Ceuta
4 (0.4 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Yellow Cards 28 (2.8 avg)
207 (20.7 avg) Tackles 184 (18.4 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Fouls 134 (13.4 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
530 (53.0 avg) Duels Won 571 (57.1 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 114 (11.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Real Valladolid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Ceuta

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)