St Pauli
vs
Hertha Berlin
Sat 19 Dec, 12:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for St Pauli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- St Pauli
- Hertha Berlin
Did you know?
- Hertha Berlin are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
- Hertha Berlin have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
- Hertha Berlin's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
- St Pauli have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
H2H
All 2 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 24 | 2–0 | ||
| 30 Sep 23 | 1–2 |
- St Pauli win · 2 (100%)
- Draw · 0 (0%)
- Hertha Berlin win · 0 (0%)
Biggest win: St Pauli 2–0 Hertha Berlin (10 Mar 24).
St Pauli vs Hertha Berlin head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, St Pauli have won 2 times, Hertha Berlin have not won and none ended in a draw. St Pauli scored 4 goals and Hertha Berlin scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Mar 2024, was won 2-0 by St Pauli, at home against Hertha Berlin. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. St Pauli kept 1 clean sheet.
How they play
Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.
- Selective shooters
- Plays on the floor
- Open play side
-
PossessionCedes the ballKeeps the ball49% 10th of 18 49% 9th of 18
-
Shot selectionShoots on sightWaits for the chance0.10 xG a shot 10th of 18 0.12 xG a shot 2nd of 18
-
Set piecesOpen playSet pieces25% of xG 11th of 18 20% of xG 15th of 18
-
Route to goalOn the groundCrosses and headers17% of shots 8th of 18 12% of shots 16th of 18
Where they differ
- St Pauli go more through the air than Hertha Berlin, 17% of shots against 12%.
- Hertha Berlin wait for better chances than St Pauli, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 2 (22%)
- Over · 7 (78%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 2 (22%)
- Over · 7 (78%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (44%)
- Over · 5 (56%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
St Pauli
Previous 10 Matches
DLDWDWDDLL-
04 Sep 26 A St Pauli vs
Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 D
-
30 Aug 26 H St Pauli vs
Kaiserslautern 1–2 L
-
14 Aug 26 A St Pauli vs
Holstein Kiel 2–2 D
Previous 10 Matches
LLDLLDLWWL-
30 Aug 26 H St Pauli vs
Kaiserslautern 1–2 L
-
09 Aug 26 H St Pauli vs
Greuther Furth 1–1 D
-
17 Apr 26 H St Pauli vs
FC Cologne
1–1
D
-
11 Apr 26 H St Pauli vs
Bayern Munich
0–5
L
Previous 10 Matches
LDLLDDDDDL-
04 Sep 26 A St Pauli vs
Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 D
-
14 Aug 26 A St Pauli vs
Holstein Kiel 2–2 D
-
09 May 26 A St Pauli vs
RB Leipzig
1–2
L
-
25 Apr 26 A St Pauli vs
Heidenheim 0–2 L
-
05 Apr 26 A St Pauli vs
Union Berlin
1–1
D
-
13 Mar 26 A St Pauli vs
Borussia Monchengladbach
0–2
L
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
9th in the league · 12 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DLDWDWDDLL | 1.10 |
| Home* | LLDLLDLWWL | 0.80 |
| Away* | LDLLDDDDDL | 0.60 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 38% | 44% | 31% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.69 | 2.53 | 2.84 |
| Scored/game | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Conceded/game | 1.31 | 1.10 | 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 51% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 33% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| xG/game | 1.14 | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| xG against/game | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.89 |
| npxG/game | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Deep completions/game | 4.7 | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 21.2 | 21.0 | 21.4 |
| Led at half-time | 34% | 34% | 34% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 8% | 5% | 11% |
Hertha Berlin
Previous 10 Matches
WWWWWWDWWW-
07 Nov 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Wolfsburg 2–1 W
-
31 Oct 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Kaiserslautern 3–0 W
-
24 Oct 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Arminia Bielefeld 1–0 W
-
16 Oct 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Holstein Kiel 0–0 D
-
11 Oct 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Greuther Furth 2–1 W
-
19 Sep 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Dynamo Dresden 2–1 W
-
13 Sep 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Osnabruck 3–1 W
-
06 Sep 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Magdeburg 2–1 W
-
28 Aug 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Braunschweig 5–3 W
-
15 Aug 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Heidenheim 4–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
WDLLWWWWWW-
07 Nov 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Wolfsburg 2–1 W
-
24 Oct 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Arminia Bielefeld 1–0 W
-
11 Oct 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Greuther Furth 2–1 W
-
06 Sep 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Magdeburg 2–1 W
-
15 Aug 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Heidenheim 4–1 W
-
10 May 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Greuther Furth 2–1 W
-
25 Apr 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Holstein Kiel 0–1 L
-
11 Apr 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Kaiserslautern 0–1 L
-
14 Mar 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Bochum 1–1 D
-
01 Mar 26 H Hertha Berlin vs
Nurnberg 2–1 W
Previous 10 Matches
WDLLWWWWDW-
31 Oct 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Kaiserslautern 3–0 W
-
16 Oct 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Holstein Kiel 0–0 D
-
19 Sep 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Dynamo Dresden 2–1 W
-
13 Sep 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Osnabruck 3–1 W
-
28 Aug 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Braunschweig 5–3 W
-
07 Aug 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Bochum 1–0 W
-
17 May 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Arminia Bielefeld 1–6 L
-
03 May 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Magdeburg 0–1 L
-
19 Apr 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Braunschweig 1–1 D
-
04 Apr 26 A Hertha Berlin vs
Dynamo Dresden 1–0 W
Form & stats (Last 10)
1st in the league · 31 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWWWDWWW | 2.80 |
| Home | WDLLWWWWWW | 2.20 |
| Away | WDLLWWWWDW | 2.00 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 34% | 36% | 31% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 3.10 | 2.99 | 3.22 |
| Scored/game | 1.44 | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| Conceded/game | 1.66 | 1.51 | 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 61% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 23% | 26% |
| xG/game | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| xG against/game | 1.65 | 1.47 | 1.82 |
| npxG/game | 1.20 | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Deep completions/game | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 13.6 | 12.5 | 14.8 |
| Led at half-time | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 9% | 9% | 9% |
League standings
St Pauli are 9th with 12 points. Hertha Berlin are 1st with 31 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 | |
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 11 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 11 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 | |
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 8 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for St Pauli yet.
Out / doubtful
- R. Jansson Injured · Physical discomfort (back 2026-11-30)
- G. Thordarson Doubtful · Physical discomfort (back 2026-11-23)
- M. Pereira Lage Doubtful · Physical discomfort (back 2026-11-23)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Hertha Berlin
- J. Brekalo 100 5 11
- O. Adewumi 011 5 7
- S. Grønning 020 4 10
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
St Pauli
- A. Ceesay 030 9 7
- C. Metcalfe 210 7 7
- M. Kaars 000 7 4
Hertha Berlin
- O. Adewumi 111 14 7
- J. D. Þórsteinsson 030 10 9
- S. Grønning 220 9 10
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
St Pauli
- A. Ceesay 143 24 7
- C. Metcalfe 340 21 7
- L. Oppie 122 17 11
Hertha Berlin
- K. Sessa 314 27 11
- J. D. Þórsteinsson 050 22 9
- O. Adewumi 121 21 7
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Hertha Berlin
- P. Seguin 100 6Y 1R 10
- L. Gechter 010 4Y 11
- D. Zeefuik 000 2Y 1R 5
Most fouls
Fouls committed
St Pauli
- J. C. Fujita 273 20 9
- A. Ceesay 332 19 7
- B. Hrgota 003 12 6
Hertha Berlin
- K. Sessa 112 17 11
- L. Gechter 011 14 11
- J. Brekalo 121 14 11
Most tackles
Tackles made
St Pauli
- D. Nemeth 432 30 11
- M. Rasmussen 002 26 11
- A. Pyrka 322 22 11
Hertha Berlin
- J. Eitschberger 131 30 9
- K. Sessa 213 20 11
- L. Gechter 121 19 11
Interceptions
Passes cut out
St Pauli
- E. Smith 222 19 9
- L. Oppie 023 13 11
- J. C. Fujita 122 13 9
Hertha Berlin
- L. Gechter 422 20 11
- N. Kolbe 201 14 11
- K. Sessa 011 12 11
Duels won
Challenges won
St Pauli
- D. Nemeth 864 71 11
- A. Pyrka 458 62 11
- M. Rasmussen 023 55 11
Hertha Berlin
- N. Kolbe 1034 62 11
- J. Eitschberger 281 62 9
- L. Gechter 665 58 11
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
St Pauli
- E. Smith 110 8 9
- D. Nemeth 111 6 11
- M. Rasmussen 000 3 11
Hertha Berlin
- N. Kolbe 110 6 11
- L. Gechter 001 6 11
- K. Sessa 010 6 11
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
St Pauli
- A. Pyrka 120 17 11
- C. Metcalfe 312 16 7
- B. Hrgota 042 14 6
Hertha Berlin
- J. Brekalo 234 39 11
- M. Pedersen 142 18 8
- J. D. Þórsteinsson 223 14 9
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Hertha Berlin To Win or Draw (Double Chance) 100.0%
-
2
Hertha Berlin Team Over 3.5 Shots on Target 100.0%
-
3
St Pauli Over 2.5 Cards in the Match 100.0%
-
4
St Pauli Team Over 1.5 Offsides 90.0%
-
5
Hertha Berlin To Win 90.0%
-
1
AC
A. Ceesay Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 100.0%
-
2
KS
K. Sessa Over 1.5 Shots 90.0%
-
3
DN
D. Nemeth Over 1.5 Tackles 90.0%
-
4
OA
O. Adewumi Over 0.5 Shots on Target 90.0%
-
5
BV
B. Voll Over 1.5 Saves 80.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
7 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Mainz
Freiburg