Match summary
AC Milan won 1-0 at home to Napoli. AC Milan led 1-0 at half-time.
Theo Hernández put AC Milan ahead in the 25th minute, set up by Rafael Leão.
The chances backed that up: AC Milan created 1.37 expected goals (xG) from 10 shots to Napoli's 0.50 from 12.
Before kick-off
AC Milan win
49%
Avg odds 1.96
Draw
27%
Avg odds 3.51
Napoli win
24%
Avg odds 4.00
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.