Match summary
Aston Villa saw off Arsenal 1-0. Aston Villa led 1-0 at half-time.
John McGinn put Aston Villa ahead in the 7th minute, set up by Leon Bailey.
Arsenal can feel hard done by, creating 1.72 expected goals (xG) from 12 shots to Aston Villa's 0.63 from 10.
Before kick-off
Aston Villa win
27%
Avg odds 3.62
Draw
26%
Avg odds 3.72
Arsenal win
47%
Avg odds 2.03
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.