Match summary
Aston Villa saw off Man City 1-0. It was goalless at half-time.
Leon Bailey put Aston Villa ahead in the 74th minute, set up by Youri Tielemans.
The chances backed that up: Aston Villa created 2.29 expected goals (xG) from 22 shots to Man City's 1.00 from 2.
Before kick-off
Aston Villa win
19%
Avg odds 5.19
Draw
23%
Avg odds 4.25
Man City win
58%
Avg odds 1.65
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.