Match summary
AC Milan won 1-0 away at Lazio, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Noah Okafor put AC Milan ahead in the 88th minute.
Lazio can feel hard done by, creating 1.60 expected goals (xG) from 11 shots to AC Milan's 0.88 from 14. Lazio had 3 players sent off.
Before kick-off
Lazio win
29%
Avg odds 3.27
Draw
30%
Avg odds 3.22
AC Milan win
41%
Avg odds 2.34
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.