Leeds vs Nott'm Forest

6 February 2026 · Premier League · 2025/26 · Referee Peter Bankes

Full time 3 – 1

Half-time: 2–0

  • Jayden Bogle 26’
  • Noah Okafor 30’
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49’
  • Lorenzo Lucca 86’

Match summary

Leeds saw off Nott'm Forest 3-1. Leeds led 2-0 at half-time.

In the first half, Jayden Bogle put Leeds ahead in the 26th minute, set up by Ilia Gruev and Noah Okafor made it 2-0 in the 30th minute, set up by James Justin. In the second half, Dominic Calvert-Lewin made it 3-0 in the 49th minute, set up by Ilia Gruev and Lorenzo Lucca pulled one back to make it 3-1 with a header in the 86th minute, set up by Omari Hutchinson.

The chances backed that up: Leeds created 3.60 expected goals (xG) from 14 shots to Nott'm Forest's 1.66 from 16.

Match stats

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 10
99 Attacks 97
42 Dangerous attacks 57
477 Passes 350
83% Pass accuracy 78%
22 Tackles 14
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
1 Offsides 4

Key events

Leeds Nott'm Forest
Kick-off
10’
Callum Hudson-OdoiShot on target
11’
Nicolás DomínguezShot on target
13’
Igor JesusShot on target
Jayden BogleLeft foot shot1-0 (Leeds)
26’
Noah OkaforRight foot shot2-0 (Leeds)
30’
James JustinShot on target
30’
44’
Morgan Gibbs-WhiteShot on target
Half-time2-0
Second half underway
Dominic Calvert-LewinRight foot shot3-0 (Leeds)
49’
61’
62’
Ilia GruevShot on target
66’
76’
Luca NetzZach Abbott
86’
Lorenzo LuccaHeader3-1 (Nott'm Forest)
90+9’
Ibrahim SangareShot on target
Full-time3-1

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0 1 2 3 4 5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 3.60 1.66 26’ Jayden Bogle (Leeds), 1-0 26’ 30’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), 2-0 30’ 49’ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds), 3-0 49’ 86’ Lorenzo Lucca (Nott'm Forest), 3-1 86’ 0 1 2 3 4 5 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 3.60 1.66 26’ Jayden Bogle (Leeds), 1-0 Bogle 26’ 30’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), 2-0 Okafor 30’ 49’ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds), 3-0 Calvert-Lewin 49’ 86’ Lorenzo Lucca (Nott'm Forest), 3-1 Lucca 86’
Leeds 3.60 xGNott'm Forest 1.66 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Nott'm Forest attacking Leeds attacking 
49’ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds), open play, 0.64 xG, goal 30’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), open play, 0.58 xG, goal 86’ Lorenzo Lucca (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.55 xG, goal 24’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), from a corner, 0.54 xG, off target 66’ Ilia Gruev (Leeds), from a corner, 0.51 xG, saved 78’ Morato (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.51 xG, off target 24’ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds), from a corner, 0.31 xG, hit the woodwork 26’ Jayden Bogle (Leeds), open play, 0.30 xG, goal 66’ Pascal Struijk (Leeds), from a corner, 0.22 xG, blocked 3’ Brenden Aaronson (Leeds), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 49’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 10’ Callum Hudson-Odoi (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.11 xG, saved 30’ James Justin (Leeds), open play, 0.10 xG, saved 11’ Nicolás Domínguez (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.08 xG, saved 90+9’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, saved 21’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 3’ Joe Rodon (Leeds), from a corner, 0.05 xG, blocked 66’ Brenden Aaronson (Leeds), from a corner, 0.05 xG, blocked 44’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, saved 75’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), from a corner, 0.04 xG, off target 13’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), from a corner, 0.04 xG, saved 11’ Nicolás Domínguez (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 49’ Ilia Gruev (Leeds), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 73’ Ryan Yates (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 63’ James Justin (Leeds), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 42’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 89’ Ola Aina (Nott'm Forest), from a corner, 0.02 xG, off target 40’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 39’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 90+7’ Ola Aina (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 49’ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds), open play, 0.64 xG, goal 30’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), open play, 0.58 xG, goal 86’ Lorenzo Lucca (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.55 xG, goal 24’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), from a corner, 0.54 xG, off target 66’ Ilia Gruev (Leeds), from a corner, 0.51 xG, saved 78’ Morato (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.51 xG, off target 24’ Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds), from a corner, 0.31 xG, hit the woodwork 26’ Jayden Bogle (Leeds), open play, 0.30 xG, goal 66’ Pascal Struijk (Leeds), from a corner, 0.22 xG, blocked 3’ Brenden Aaronson (Leeds), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 49’ Noah Okafor (Leeds), open play, 0.11 xG, blocked 10’ Callum Hudson-Odoi (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.11 xG, saved 30’ James Justin (Leeds), open play, 0.10 xG, saved 11’ Nicolás Domínguez (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.08 xG, saved 90+9’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, saved 21’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 3’ Joe Rodon (Leeds), from a corner, 0.05 xG, blocked 66’ Brenden Aaronson (Leeds), from a corner, 0.05 xG, blocked 44’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, saved 75’ Dan Ndoye (Nott'm Forest), from a corner, 0.04 xG, off target 13’ Igor Jesus (Nott'm Forest), from a corner, 0.04 xG, saved 11’ Nicolás Domínguez (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 49’ Ilia Gruev (Leeds), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 73’ Ryan Yates (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 63’ James Justin (Leeds), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 42’ Morgan Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.02 xG, blocked 89’ Ola Aina (Nott'm Forest), from a corner, 0.02 xG, off target 40’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 39’ Ibrahim Sangare (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 90+7’ Ola Aina (Nott'm Forest), open play, 0.01 xG, off target
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Lineups

Leeds 3-4-2-1 Starting XI
Darlow
Justin
Rodon
Struijk
Bogle 90’
Ampadu
Gruev 2
Gudmundsson
Aaronson 78’
Okafor 82’
Calvert-Lewin
Nott'm Forest 4-2-3-1 Starting XI
Ortega
Aina
Morato
Milenković
Abbott 76’
Anderson
Sangaré
Hudson-Odoi 67’
Gibbs-White 67’
Domínguez 54’
Jesus 54’

Player stats

PlayerPosMinGAShxGxAKPCards
Karl Darlow GK900 0.000.000
Pascal Struijk DEF901 0.220.000
James Justin DEF9012 0.131.164
Joe Rodon DEF901 0.050.000
Jayden Bogle MID9011 0.300.000
Gabriel Gudmundsson MID900 0.000.111
Ilia Gruev MID9022 0.551.084
Ethan Ampadu MID900 0.000.041
Noah Okafor MID8313 1.230.000
Brenden Aaronson MID792 0.160.101
Dominic Calvert-Lewin FWD9012 0.940.000
Daniel James Sub110 0.000.000
Sean Longstaff Sub70 0.000.000
Sebastiaan Bornauw Sub10 0.000.000

Starters first, then substitutes. xA is expected assists.

Before kick-off

Leeds win 44% Avg odds 2.14
Draw 28% Avg odds 3.37
Nott'm Forest win 28% Avg odds 3.40

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Timeline, lineups and team statistics from Sportmonks. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk.