Match summary
Udinese saw off Fiorentina 1-0, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Ilija Nestorovski put Udinese ahead with a header in the 86th minute, set up by Rodrigo de Paul.
The chances backed that up: Udinese created 1.01 expected goals (xG) from 9 shots to Fiorentina's 0.39 from 8.
Before kick-off
Udinese win
35%
Avg odds 2.73
Draw
32%
Avg odds 3.02
Fiorentina win
33%
Avg odds 2.86
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.