Aston Villa
vs
Brighton
Sat 10 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Aston Villa
- Brighton
Did you know?
- Aston Villa beat Brighton 6-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
- Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
- Brighton have scored in 6 consecutive matches.
- Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
H2H
All 15 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 26 | Brighton |
4–0 | Aston Villa |
| 11 Feb 26 | Aston Villa |
1–0 | Brighton |
| 03 Dec 25 | Brighton |
3–4 | Aston Villa |
| 02 Apr 25 | Brighton |
0–3 | Aston Villa |
| 30 Dec 24 | Aston Villa |
2–2 | Brighton |
| 05 May 24 | Brighton |
1–0 | Aston Villa |
| 30 Sep 23 | Aston Villa |
6–1 | Brighton |
| 28 May 23 | Aston Villa |
2–1 | Brighton |
| 13 Nov 22 | Brighton |
1–2 | Aston Villa |
| 26 Feb 22 | Brighton |
0–2 | Aston Villa |
| 20 Nov 21 | Aston Villa |
2–0 | Brighton |
| 13 Feb 21 | Brighton |
0–0 | Aston Villa |
| 21 Nov 20 | Aston Villa |
1–2 | Brighton |
| 18 Jan 20 | Brighton |
1–1 | Aston Villa |
| 19 Oct 19 | Aston Villa |
2–1 | Brighton |
- Aston Villa win · 9 (60%)
- Draw · 3 (20%)
- Brighton win · 3 (20%)
Biggest win: Aston Villa 6–1 Brighton (30 Sep 23).
Aston Villa vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Aston Villa have won 9 times, Brighton have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Aston Villa scored 28 goals and Brighton scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, was won 4-0 by Brighton, at home against Aston Villa. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 15 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa kept 5 clean sheets and Brighton kept 3.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Aston Villa
Brighton
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Aston Villa
Brighton
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
Aston Villa
Previous 10 Matches
DWWLLDLWDW-
17 Oct 26 A Aston Villa vs
Newcastle
1–0
W
-
10 Oct 26 H Aston Villa vs
Brentford
2–2
D
-
19 Sep 26 A Aston Villa vs
Tottenham
3–2
W
-
12 Sep 26 H Aston Villa vs
Nott'm Forest
1–2
L
-
05 Sep 26 A Aston Villa vs
Hull
0–0
D
-
31 Aug 26 H Aston Villa vs
Arsenal
0–1
L
-
23 Aug 26 A Aston Villa vs
Brighton
0–4
L
-
24 May 26 A Aston Villa vs
Man City
2–1
W
-
15 May 26 H Aston Villa vs
Liverpool
4–2
W
-
10 May 26 A Aston Villa vs
Burnley
2–2
D
Previous 10 Matches
WDLWWLWLLD-
10 Oct 26 H Aston Villa vs
Brentford
2–2
D
-
12 Sep 26 H Aston Villa vs
Nott'm Forest
1–2
L
-
31 Aug 26 H Aston Villa vs
Arsenal
0–1
L
-
15 May 26 H Aston Villa vs
Liverpool
4–2
W
-
03 May 26 H Aston Villa vs
Tottenham
1–2
L
-
19 Apr 26 H Aston Villa vs
Sunderland
4–3
W
-
22 Mar 26 H Aston Villa vs
West Ham
2–0
W
-
04 Mar 26 H Aston Villa vs
Chelsea
1–4
L
-
21 Feb 26 H Aston Villa vs
Leeds
1–1
D
-
11 Feb 26 H Aston Villa vs
Brighton
1–0
W
Previous 10 Matches
LLDLDWLDWW-
17 Oct 26 A Aston Villa vs
Newcastle
1–0
W
-
19 Sep 26 A Aston Villa vs
Tottenham
3–2
W
-
05 Sep 26 A Aston Villa vs
Hull
0–0
D
-
23 Aug 26 A Aston Villa vs
Brighton
0–4
L
-
24 May 26 A Aston Villa vs
Man City
2–1
W
-
10 May 26 A Aston Villa vs
Burnley
2–2
D
-
25 Apr 26 A Aston Villa vs
Fulham
0–1
L
-
12 Apr 26 A Aston Villa vs
Nott'm Forest
1–1
D
-
15 Mar 26 A Aston Villa vs
Man United
1–3
L
-
27 Feb 26 A Aston Villa vs
Wolves
0–2
L
Form & stats (Last 10)
12th in the league · 8 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DWWLLDLWDW | 1.50 |
| Home | WDLWWLWLLD | 1.40 |
| Away | LLDLDWLDWW | 1.20 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 42% | 49% | 36% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.86 | 3.03 | 2.69 |
| Scored/game | 1.45 | 1.69 | 1.21 |
| Conceded/game | 1.41 | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 60% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 29% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 16% | 28% |
| xG/game | 1.44 | 1.63 | 1.26 |
| xG against/game | 1.54 | 1.39 | 1.70 |
| npxG/game | 1.37 | 1.56 | 1.18 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.1 | 8.1 | 6.2 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 13.6 | 13.0 | 14.3 |
| Led at half-time | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 12% | 12% | 11% |
Brighton
Previous 10 Matches
LWLLWLDWWW-
10 Oct 26 A Brighton vs
Sunderland
2–0
W
-
23 Aug 26 H Brighton vs
Aston Villa
4–0
W
-
24 May 26 H Brighton vs
Man United
0–3
L
Previous 10 Matches
LWLWWWLWDW-
23 Aug 26 H Brighton vs
Aston Villa
4–0
W
-
24 May 26 H Brighton vs
Man United
0–3
L
-
01 Mar 26 H Brighton vs
Nott'm Forest
2–1
W
-
08 Feb 26 H Brighton vs
Crystal Palace
0–1
L
Previous 10 Matches
LWWWDLLLWW-
10 Oct 26 A Brighton vs
Sunderland
2–0
W
-
14 Mar 26 A Brighton vs
Sunderland
1–0
W
-
11 Feb 26 A Brighton vs
Aston Villa
0–1
L
Form & stats (Last 10)
3rd in the league · 13 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLWLDWWW | 1.60 |
| Home | LWLWWWLWDW | 1.90 |
| Away | LWWWDLLLWW | 1.60 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 37% | 30% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.74 | 2.65 | 2.83 |
| Scored/game | 1.35 | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Conceded/game | 1.38 | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 54% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 28% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| xG/game | 1.50 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| xG against/game | 1.43 | 1.25 | 1.61 |
| npxG/game | 1.38 | 1.49 | 1.27 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.6 | 8.7 | 6.5 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 10.8 | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| Led at half-time | 29% | 30% | 28% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 9% | 15% | 5% |
League standings
Aston Villa are 12th with 8 points. Brighton are 3rd with 13 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Hull |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Man United |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 |
| 15 | Coventry |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Fulham |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sunderland |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Tottenham |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Aston Villa yet.
Out / doubtful
- Maatsen Injured · Ankle injury - Unknown return date
- Modou Kéba Cissé Injured · Knock (6 games missed)
- Onana Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Ruggeri Injured · Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- George Hemmings Doubtful · 75% to play · Knee injury - 75% chance of playing
- Manzambi Doubtful · 75% to play · Calf injury - 75% chance of playing
- Wan-Bissaka Doubtful · 75% to play · Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
- Taylor Harwood-Bellis Unavailable · No Eligibility (9 games missed)
No expected XI available for Brighton yet.
Out / doubtful
- Azeez Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Ferguson Injured · Ankle injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Minteh Injured · Leg injury - Expected back 28 Nov
- Mitoma Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Tzimas Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Wieffer Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Yohanna Injured · Unspecified injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Struijk Doubtful · 75% to play · Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Aston Villa
- Nicolas Jackson 110 2 6
- Johan Manzambi 101 2 4
- Emiliano Buendía 100 1 7
Brighton
- Pascal Groß 110 3 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 110 2 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 001 2 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Aston Villa
- Nicolas Jackson 221 5 6
- Johan Manzambi 211 4 4
- John McGinn 030 3 6
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 002 6 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 120 5 6
- Malick Yalcouyé 200 4 6
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Aston Villa
- Nicolas Jackson 644 16 6
- Emiliano Buendía 341 14 7
- Johan Manzambi 473 14 4
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 204 18 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 341 14 6
- Yasin Ayari 422 12 5
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Aston Villa
- João Gomes 001 2Y 1R 4
- Matty Cash 010 3Y 6
- Nicolas Jackson 100 2Y 6
Brighton
- Pascal Struijk 011 1Y 1R 4
- Olivier Boscagli 001 2Y 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 010 2Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Aston Villa
- Boubacar Kamara 204 13 7
- Matty Cash 123 11 6
- John McGinn 120 8 6
Brighton
- Pascal Groß 214 12 6
- Olivier Boscagli 311 10 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 110 7 6
Most tackles
Tackles made
Aston Villa
- Emiliano Buendía 636 18 7
- Boubacar Kamara 215 15 7
- Matty Cash 053 14 6
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 056 19 6
- Pascal Groß 215 12 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 031 9 6
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Aston Villa
- Matteo Ruggeri 51– 7 4
- Ian Maatsen ––– 7 4
- Aaron Wan-Bissaka 211 7 3
Brighton
- Olivier Boscagli 131 8 6
- Mats Wieffer ––– 6 2
- Diego Gómez 011 5 6
Duels won
Challenges won
Aston Villa
- Boubacar Kamara 3910 45 7
- Emiliano Buendía 1089 43 7
- John McGinn 175 34 6
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 3913 44 6
- Luka Vuskovic 667 36 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 523 26 6
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Aston Villa
- Boubacar Kamara 022 5 7
- Matty Cash 011 4 6
- Victor Lindelöf 101 3 7
Brighton
- Luka Vuskovic 012 5 6
- Pascal Struijk 031 4 4
- Malick Yalcouyé 102 3 6
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Aston Villa
- Ross Barkley 012 9 7
- John McGinn 321 9 6
- Emiliano Buendía 320 7 7
Brighton
- Pascal Groß 623 18 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 420 12 6
- Olivier Boscagli 101 8 6
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Brighton
Team Over 12.5 Shots
100.0%
-
2
Brighton
Team Over 3.5 Shots on Target
90.0%
-
3
Brighton
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
90.0%
-
4
Brighton
Team Over 10.5 Fouls
80.0%
-
5
Brighton
Over 7.5 Corners in the Match
80.0%
-
1
JG
João Gomes
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
90.0%
-
2
ZS
Zion Suzuki
Over 2.5 Saves
80.0%
-
3
JM
Johan Manzambi
Over 1.5 Shots
80.0%
-
4
JG
João Gomes
Over 1.5 Tackles
70.0%
-
5
JM
Johan Manzambi
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
70.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
7 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Coventry
Everton
Ipswich
Bournemouth