Aston Villa vs Brighton

Sat 10 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa win 35.9%
Draw 27.9%
Brighton win · Most likely 36.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 59%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 78%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 56%
Aston Villa clean sheet 24%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 24%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.4%
0-17.5%
0-25.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Aston Villa
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Aston Villa beat Brighton 6-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Brighton have scored in 6 consecutive matches.
  • Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

15meetings
  • Aston Villa win · 9 (60%)
  • Draw · 3 (20%)
  • Brighton win · 3 (20%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 53% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 47% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.07 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 5.73 League avg: 3.91
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.87 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.13 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Aston Villa 6–1 Brighton (30 Sep 23).

Aston Villa vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Aston Villa have won 9 times, Brighton have won 3 times and 3 ended in a draw. Aston Villa scored 28 goals and Brighton scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, was won 4-0 by Brighton, at home against Aston Villa. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 15 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa kept 5 clean sheets and Brighton kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Brighton
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
83 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
26 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
616 (88.0 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
264 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
64 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
2858 (408.3 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
2371 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
47% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Brighton
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
14 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
121 (17.3 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
7 (1.0 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
327 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
70 (10.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)