Athletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo

Thu 03 Dec, 00:30 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Athletico Paranaense win · Most likely 48.7%
Draw 28.3%
Sao Paulo win 23.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 49%
Athletico Paranaense clean sheet 37%Avg 34%
Sao Paulo clean sheet 22%Avg 20%
Over 8.5 corners 85%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 77%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 67%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.8%
2-19.4%
2-09.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Athletico Paranaense
  • Sao Paulo

Did you know?

  • Athletico Paranaense's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Athletico Paranaense have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Sao Paulo have won just 0 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Athletico Paranaense have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
23 Jul 26 Sao Paulo 1–2 Athletico Paranaense
10 Nov 24 Sao Paulo 2–1 Athletico Paranaense
04 Jul 24 Athletico Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo
29 Oct 23 Athletico Paranaense 1–1 Sao Paulo
21 Jun 23 Sao Paulo 2–1 Athletico Paranaense
31 Jul 22 Athletico Paranaense 1–0 Sao Paulo
10 Apr 22 Sao Paulo 4–0 Athletico Paranaense
7meetings
  • Athletico Paranaense win · 2 (29%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • Sao Paulo win · 4 (57%)
Avg. total goals 2.71 League avg: 2.59
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 49%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 57% League avg: 49%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 10.53
Avg. total cards 1.00 League avg: 4.95
Athletico Paranaense avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.29
Sao Paulo avg. goals 1.71 League avg: 1.29

Biggest win: Sao Paulo 4–0 Athletico Paranaense (10 Apr 22).

Athletico Paranaense vs Sao Paulo head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Athletico Paranaense have won 2 times, Sao Paulo have won 4 times and 1 ended in a draw. Athletico Paranaense scored 7 goals and Sao Paulo scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 23 Jul 2026, was won 2-1 by Athletico Paranaense, away at Sao Paulo. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 7 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Athletico Paranaense kept 1 clean sheet and Sao Paulo kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Athletico Paranaense
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Sao Paulo
  • Crosses and headers
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    47% 13th of 20 54% 8th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 7th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 14th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 15th of 20 27% of xG 5th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 19th of 20 23% of shots 4th of 20

Where they differ

  • Sao Paulo go more through the air than Athletico Paranaense, 23% of shots against 15%.
  • Sao Paulo get more of their chances from set pieces than Athletico Paranaense, 27% against 22%.
  • Athletico Paranaense wait for better chances than Sao Paulo, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Athletico Paranaense Sao Paulo
17 (1.7 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
164 (16.4 avg) Total Shots 155 (15.5 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Shots on Target 41 (4.1 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Blocked Shots 47 (4.7 avg)
72 (7.2 avg) Corners 80 (8.0 avg)
N/A Attacks 973 (97.3 avg)
N/A Dangerous Attacks 485 (48.5 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 108 (10.8 avg)
4395 (439.5 avg) Passes 4565 (456.5 avg)
3737 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3819 (84%)
50% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Athletico Paranaense Sao Paulo
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Tackles 198 (19.8 avg)
142 (14.2 avg) Fouls 145 (14.5 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 12 (1.5 avg)
370 (41.1 avg) Duels Won 534 (53.4 avg)
85 (9.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 143 (14.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Athletico Paranaense

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Sao Paulo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)