Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama

Sun 29 Nov, 22:30 UTC · Matchweek 37 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Atletico Mineiro win · Most likely 44.1%
Draw 29.4%
Vasco da Gama win 26.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 49%
Atletico Mineiro clean sheet 35%Avg 34%
Vasco da Gama clean sheet 25%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 57%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.5%
2-19.0%
2-08.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Atletico Mineiro
  • Vasco da Gama

Did you know?

  • Atletico Mineiro beat Vasco da Gama 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Atletico Mineiro's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Vasco da Gama's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Atletico Mineiro have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
31 May 26 Vasco da Gama 0–1 Atletico Mineiro
07 Dec 25 Atletico Mineiro 5–0 Vasco da Gama
10 Aug 25 Vasco da Gama 1–1 Atletico Mineiro
04 Dec 24 Vasco da Gama 2–0 Atletico Mineiro
21 Jul 24 Atletico Mineiro 2–0 Vasco da Gama
20 Aug 23 Vasco da Gama 1–0 Atletico Mineiro
16 Apr 23 Atletico Mineiro 1–2 Vasco da Gama
7meetings
  • Atletico Mineiro win · 3 (43%)
  • Draw · 1 (14%)
  • Vasco da Gama win · 3 (43%)
Avg. total goals 2.29 League avg: 2.59
Over 2.5 goals 29% League avg: 49%
Both teams to score 29% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 57% League avg: 48%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 10.53
Avg. total cards 2.00 League avg: 4.95
Atletico Mineiro avg. goals 1.43 League avg: 1.30
Vasco da Gama avg. goals 0.86 League avg: 1.30

Biggest win: Atletico Mineiro 5–0 Vasco da Gama (07 Dec 25).

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Atletico Mineiro have won 3 times, Vasco da Gama have won 3 times and 1 ended in a draw. Atletico Mineiro scored 10 goals and Vasco da Gama scored 6 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 May 2026, was won 1-0 by Atletico Mineiro, away at Vasco da Gama. Atletico Mineiro are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 7 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Atletico Mineiro kept 3 clean sheets and Vasco da Gama kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Atletico Mineiro
  • Selective shooters
Vasco da Gama
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    50% 10th of 20 55% 3rd of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 4th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 11th of 20 22% of xG 14th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 13th of 20 18% of shots 15th of 20

Where they differ

  • Atletico Mineiro wait for better chances than Vasco da Gama, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Vasco da Gama see much more of the ball than Atletico Mineiro, 55% against 50%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Atletico Mineiro Vasco da Gama
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Total Shots 179 (17.9 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Shots on Target 57 (5.7 avg)
32 (3.2 avg) Blocked Shots 48 (4.8 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 67 (6.7 avg)
802 (89.1 avg) Attacks 825 (91.7 avg)
456 (50.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 512 (56.9 avg)
107 (11.9 avg) Key Passes 125 (12.5 avg)
5054 (505.4 avg) Passes 5131 (513.1 avg)
4371 (86%) Pass Accuracy 4392 (86%)
51% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Atletico Mineiro Vasco da Gama
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Tackles 161 (16.1 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Fouls 143 (14.3 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
407 (45.2 avg) Duels Won 475 (47.5 avg)
95 (10.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 122 (12.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Atletico Mineiro

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Vasco da Gama

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)