Brighton
vs
Man United
Sat 02 Jan, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Brighton
- Man United
Did you know?
- Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
- These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 16 meetings.
- Brighton beat Man United 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
- Brighton have scored in 6 consecutive matches.
H2H
All 16 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 26 | Brighton |
0–3 | Man United |
| 25 Oct 25 | Man United |
4–2 | Brighton |
| 19 Jan 25 | Man United |
1–3 | Brighton |
| 24 Aug 24 | Brighton |
2–1 | Man United |
| 19 May 24 | Brighton |
0–2 | Man United |
| 16 Sep 23 | Man United |
1–3 | Brighton |
| 04 May 23 | Brighton |
1–0 | Man United |
| 07 Aug 22 | Man United |
1–2 | Brighton |
| 07 May 22 | Brighton |
4–0 | Man United |
| 15 Feb 22 | Man United |
2–0 | Brighton |
| 04 Apr 21 | Man United |
2–1 | Brighton |
| 26 Sep 20 | Brighton |
2–3 | Man United |
| 30 Jun 20 | Brighton |
0–3 | Man United |
| 10 Nov 19 | Man United |
3–1 | Brighton |
| 19 Jan 19 | Man United |
2–1 | Brighton |
| 19 Aug 18 | Brighton |
3–2 | Man United |
- Brighton win · 7 (44%)
- Draw · 0 (0%)
- Man United win · 9 (56%)
Biggest win: Brighton 4–0 Man United (07 May 22).
Brighton vs Man United head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Brighton have won 7 times, Man United have won 9 times and none ended in a draw. Brighton scored 25 goals and Man United scored 30 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 May 2026, was won 3-0 by Man United, away at Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 13 had over 2.5 goals. Brighton kept 2 clean sheets and Man United kept 4.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Brighton
Man United
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Brighton
Man United
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Brighton
Previous 10 Matches
LWLLWLDWWW-
10 Oct 26 A Brighton vs
Sunderland
2–0
W
-
23 Aug 26 H Brighton vs
Aston Villa
4–0
W
-
24 May 26 H Brighton vs
Man United
0–3
L
Previous 10 Matches
LWLWWWLWDW-
23 Aug 26 H Brighton vs
Aston Villa
4–0
W
-
24 May 26 H Brighton vs
Man United
0–3
L
-
01 Mar 26 H Brighton vs
Nott'm Forest
2–1
W
-
08 Feb 26 H Brighton vs
Crystal Palace
0–1
L
Previous 10 Matches
LWWWDLLLWW-
10 Oct 26 A Brighton vs
Sunderland
2–0
W
-
14 Mar 26 A Brighton vs
Sunderland
1–0
W
-
11 Feb 26 A Brighton vs
Aston Villa
0–1
L
Form & stats (Last 10)
3rd in the league · 13 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLWLDWWW | 1.60 |
| Home | LWLWWWLWDW | 1.90 |
| Away | LWWWDLLLWW | 1.60 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 33% | 37% | 30% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.74 | 2.65 | 2.83 |
| Scored/game | 1.35 | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Conceded/game | 1.38 | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 54% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 28% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 27% | 25% |
| xG/game | 1.50 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| xG against/game | 1.43 | 1.25 | 1.61 |
| npxG/game | 1.38 | 1.49 | 1.27 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.6 | 8.7 | 6.5 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 10.8 | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| Led at half-time | 29% | 30% | 28% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 9% | 15% | 5% |
Man United
Previous 10 Matches
WDWWLWDLDD-
10 Oct 26 H Man United vs
Tottenham
1–1
D
-
20 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Fulham
1–1
D
-
13 Sep 26 H Man United vs
Man City
0–1
L
-
06 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Everton
2–2
D
-
30 Aug 26 H Man United vs
Ipswich
5–2
W
-
22 Aug 26 A Man United vs
Hull
0–2
L
-
24 May 26 A Man United vs
Brighton
3–0
W
-
17 May 26 H Man United vs
Nott'm Forest
3–2
W
-
09 May 26 A Man United vs
Sunderland
0–0
D
-
03 May 26 H Man United vs
Liverpool
3–2
W
Previous 10 Matches
WWWLWWWWLD-
10 Oct 26 H Man United vs
Tottenham
1–1
D
-
13 Sep 26 H Man United vs
Man City
0–1
L
-
30 Aug 26 H Man United vs
Ipswich
5–2
W
-
17 May 26 H Man United vs
Nott'm Forest
3–2
W
-
03 May 26 H Man United vs
Liverpool
3–2
W
-
27 Apr 26 H Man United vs
Brentford
2–1
W
-
13 Apr 26 H Man United vs
Leeds
1–2
L
-
15 Mar 26 H Man United vs
Aston Villa
3–1
W
-
01 Mar 26 H Man United vs
Crystal Palace
2–1
W
-
07 Feb 26 H Man United vs
Tottenham
2–0
W
Previous 10 Matches
DWLDWDWLDD-
20 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Fulham
1–1
D
-
06 Sep 26 A Man United vs
Everton
2–2
D
-
22 Aug 26 A Man United vs
Hull
0–2
L
-
24 May 26 A Man United vs
Brighton
3–0
W
-
09 May 26 A Man United vs
Sunderland
0–0
D
-
18 Apr 26 A Man United vs
Chelsea
1–0
W
-
20 Mar 26 A Man United vs
Bournemouth
2–2
D
-
04 Mar 26 A Man United vs
Newcastle
1–2
L
-
23 Feb 26 A Man United vs
Everton
1–0
W
-
10 Feb 26 A Man United vs
West Ham
1–1
D
Form & stats (Last 10)
14th in the league · 6 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WDWWLWDLDD | 1.60 |
| Home | WWWLWWWWLD | 2.20 |
| Away | DWLDWDWLDD | 1.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 47% | 55% | 40% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.91 | 2.99 | 2.83 |
| Scored/game | 1.61 | 1.79 | 1.42 |
| Conceded/game | 1.31 | 1.20 | 1.41 |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 57% | 55% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 28% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 21% | 24% |
| xG/game | 1.70 | 1.91 | 1.50 |
| xG against/game | 1.40 | 1.27 | 1.53 |
| npxG/game | 1.55 | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| Deep completions/game | 8.4 | 9.4 | 7.4 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.9 | 11.7 | 12.0 |
| Led at half-time | 35% | 41% | 29% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 19% | 25% | 14% |
League standings
Brighton are 3rd with 13 points. Man United are 14th with 6 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Chelsea |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 | Brentford |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Everton |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Hull |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Ipswich |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Newcastle |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Aston Villa |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Man United |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 |
| 15 | Coventry |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Fulham |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sunderland |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Bournemouth |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Tottenham |
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Brighton yet.
Out / doubtful
- Azeez Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Ferguson Injured · Ankle injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Minteh Injured · Leg injury - Expected back 28 Nov
- Mitoma Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Tzimas Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Wieffer Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Yohanna Injured · Unspecified injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Struijk Doubtful · 75% to play · Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
No expected XI available for Man United yet.
Out / doubtful
- Dorgu Injured · Hamstring injury - Expected back 25 Oct
- Heaton Injured · Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
- Ugarte Injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
- Šeško Injured · Shin injury - Expected back 18 Oct
- Mainoo Doubtful · 75% to play · Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
- Mazraoui Doubtful · 25% to play · Back injury - 25% chance of playing
- Shaw Doubtful · 75% to play · Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Brighton
- Pascal Groß 110 3 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 110 2 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 001 2 6
Man United
- Bruno Fernandes 000 3 6
- Bryan Mbeumo 001 3 6
- Matheus Cunha 010 1 6
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 002 6 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 120 5 6
- Malick Yalcouyé 200 4 6
Man United
- Bryan Mbeumo 112 8 6
- Bruno Fernandes 100 5 6
- Matheus Cunha 020 4 6
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 204 18 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 341 14 6
- Yasin Ayari 422 12 5
Man United
- Bryan Mbeumo 352 21 6
- Bruno Fernandes 131 20 6
- Matheus Cunha 331 14 6
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Brighton
- Pascal Struijk 011 1Y 1R 4
- Olivier Boscagli 001 2Y 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 010 2Y 6
Man United
- Luke Shaw –01 2Y 5
- Diogo Dalot 001 2Y 4
- Harry Maguire 100 2Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Brighton
- Pascal Groß 214 12 6
- Olivier Boscagli 311 10 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 110 7 6
Man United
- Matheus Cunha 132 7 6
- Harry Maguire 300 7 6
- Patrick Dorgu 30– 7 5
Most tackles
Tackles made
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 056 19 6
- Pascal Groß 215 12 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 031 9 6
Man United
- Youri Tielemans 235 12 6
- Kobbie Mainoo 015 11 5
- Luke Shaw –03 9 5
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Brighton
- Olivier Boscagli 131 8 6
- Mats Wieffer ––– 6 2
- Diego Gómez 011 5 6
Man United
- Harry Maguire 115 11 6
- Luke Shaw –25 11 5
- Youri Tielemans 220 7 6
Duels won
Challenges won
Brighton
- Diego Gómez 3913 44 6
- Luka Vuskovic 667 36 6
- Charalampos Kostoulas 523 26 6
Man United
- Harry Maguire 565 32 6
- Youri Tielemans 649 30 6
- Kobbie Mainoo 536 29 5
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Brighton
- Luka Vuskovic 012 5 6
- Pascal Struijk 031 4 4
- Malick Yalcouyé 102 3 6
Man United
- Lisandro Martínez 002 4 5
- Luke Shaw –00 3 5
- Bruno Fernandes 001 2 6
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Brighton
- Pascal Groß 623 18 6
- Maxim De Cuyper 420 12 6
- Olivier Boscagli 101 8 6
Man United
- Bruno Fernandes 142 15 6
- Marcus Rashford 140 13 6
- Bryan Mbeumo 231 11 6
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Brighton
Team Over 12.5 Shots
100.0%
-
2
Brighton
Team Over 3.5 Shots on Target
90.0%
-
3
Man United
Over 2.5 Cards in the Match
90.0%
-
4
Brighton
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
90.0%
-
5
Brighton
Team Over 10.5 Fouls
80.0%
-
1
SL
Senne Lammens
Over 1.5 Saves
90.0%
-
2
MC
Matheus Cunha
Over 1.5 Shots
90.0%
-
3
KM
Kaoru Mitoma
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
90.0%
-
4
YT
Youri Tielemans
Over 1.5 Tackles
80.0%
-
5
BM
Bryan Mbeumo
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
80.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
4 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
7 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Arsenal
Coventry
Wolves
Burnley