Leeds vs Brighton

Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Leeds win · Most likely 36.4%
Draw 28.2%
Brighton win 35.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 56%
Leeds clean sheet 25%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 24%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 54%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.5%
1-07.9%
2-05.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Leeds
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Brighton have scored in 6 consecutive matches.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Brighton beat Leeds 3-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
05 Sep 26 Brighton 1–1 Leeds
17 May 26 Leeds 1–0 Brighton
01 Nov 25 Brighton 3–0 Leeds
11 Mar 23 Leeds 2–2 Brighton
27 Aug 22 Brighton 1–0 Leeds
15 May 22 Leeds 1–1 Brighton
27 Nov 21 Brighton 0–0 Leeds
01 May 21 Brighton 2–0 Leeds
16 Jan 21 Leeds 0–1 Brighton
9meetings
  • Leeds win · 1 (11%)
  • Draw · 4 (44%)
  • Brighton win · 4 (44%)
Avg. total goals 1.78 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 22% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.22 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.11 League avg: 3.91
Leeds avg. goals 0.56 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.22 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 3–0 Leeds (01 Nov 25).

Leeds vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Leeds have won once, Brighton have won 4 times and 4 ended in a draw. Leeds scored 5 goals and Brighton scored 11 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, ended 1-1 at Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 9 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Leeds kept 2 clean sheets and Brighton kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Leeds Brighton
8 (1.3 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
23 (3.8 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
566 (94.3 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
209 (34.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
41 (6.8 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
2157 (359.5 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
1666 (77%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
44% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Leeds Brighton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
11 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
99 (16.5 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
73 (12.2 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
15 (2.5 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
342 (57.0 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
126 (21.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Leeds

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)