Liverpool vs Aston Villa

Wed 03 Mar, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 28 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Liverpool win · Most likely 49.3%
Draw 26.8%
Aston Villa win 23.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 56%
Liverpool clean sheet 32%Avg 26%
Aston Villa clean sheet 19%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
1-09.4%
2-08.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Liverpool
  • Aston Villa

Did you know?

  • Aston Villa beat Liverpool 7-2 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Liverpool have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Liverpool have won just 3 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 14 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 May 26 Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool
01 Nov 25 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa
19 Feb 25 Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool
09 Nov 24 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa
13 May 24 Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool
03 Sep 23 Liverpool 3–0 Aston Villa
20 May 23 Liverpool 1–1 Aston Villa
26 Dec 22 Aston Villa 1–3 Liverpool
10 May 22 Aston Villa 1–2 Liverpool
11 Dec 21 Liverpool 1–0 Aston Villa
10 Apr 21 Liverpool 2–1 Aston Villa
04 Oct 20 Aston Villa 7–2 Liverpool
05 Jul 20 Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa
02 Nov 19 Aston Villa 1–2 Liverpool
14meetings
  • Liverpool win · 9 (64%)
  • Draw · 3 (21%)
  • Aston Villa win · 2 (14%)
Avg. total goals 3.57 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 57% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 2.93 League avg: 3.91
Liverpool avg. goals 2.07 League avg: 1.42
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Aston Villa 7–2 Liverpool (04 Oct 20).

Liverpool vs Aston Villa head to head: in the previous 14 meetings, Liverpool have won 9 times, Aston Villa have won 2 times and 3 ended in a draw. Liverpool scored 29 goals and Aston Villa scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 May 2026, was won 4-2 by Aston Villa, at home against Liverpool. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 14 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. Liverpool kept 5 clean sheets.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Liverpool Aston Villa
9 (1.3 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
110 (15.7 avg) Total Shots 83 (11.9 avg)
35 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 22 (3.1 avg)
41 (5.9 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (3.7 avg)
35 (5.0 avg) Corners 22 (3.1 avg)
800 (114.3 avg) Attacks 616 (88.0 avg)
389 (55.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 264 (37.7 avg)
81 (11.6 avg) Key Passes 64 (9.1 avg)
3371 (481.6 avg) Passes 2858 (408.3 avg)
2854 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2371 (83%)
56% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Liverpool Aston Villa
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.0 avg)
111 (15.9 avg) Tackles 121 (17.3 avg)
97 (13.9 avg) Fouls 75 (10.7 avg)
16 (2.3 avg) Offsides 7 (1.0 avg)
342 (48.9 avg) Duels Won 327 (46.7 avg)
100 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 70 (10.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Liverpool

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)