Man United vs Brighton

Wed 10 Feb, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Man United win · Most likely 44.1%
Draw 26.3%
Brighton win 29.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Man United clean sheet 25%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 18%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.2%
1-07.3%
2-06.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Man United
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 13 of their last 16 meetings.
  • Brighton beat Man United 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Man United have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 May 26 Brighton 0–3 Man United
25 Oct 25 Man United 4–2 Brighton
19 Jan 25 Man United 1–3 Brighton
24 Aug 24 Brighton 2–1 Man United
19 May 24 Brighton 0–2 Man United
16 Sep 23 Man United 1–3 Brighton
04 May 23 Brighton 1–0 Man United
07 Aug 22 Man United 1–2 Brighton
07 May 22 Brighton 4–0 Man United
15 Feb 22 Man United 2–0 Brighton
04 Apr 21 Man United 2–1 Brighton
26 Sep 20 Brighton 2–3 Man United
30 Jun 20 Brighton 0–3 Man United
10 Nov 19 Man United 3–1 Brighton
19 Jan 19 Man United 2–1 Brighton
19 Aug 18 Brighton 3–2 Man United
16meetings
  • Man United win · 9 (56%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Brighton win · 7 (44%)
Avg. total goals 3.44 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 81% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 56% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.12 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.94 League avg: 3.91
Man United avg. goals 1.88 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.56 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 4–0 Man United (07 May 22).

Man United vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Man United have won 9 times, Brighton have won 7 times and none ended in a draw. Man United scored 30 goals and Brighton scored 25 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 May 2026, was won 3-0 by Man United, away at Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 13 had over 2.5 goals. Man United kept 4 clean sheets and Brighton kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Man United Brighton
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
125 (20.8 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
46 (7.7 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
40 (6.7 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
641 (106.8 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
388 (64.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
92 (15.3 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
3298 (549.7 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
2891 (88%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
58% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Man United Brighton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
94 (15.7 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
274 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Man United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)