Man United vs Newcastle

Thu 07 Jan, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Man United win · Most likely 54.1%
Draw 24.7%
Newcastle win 21.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 59%Avg 56%
Man United clean sheet 31%Avg 26%
Newcastle clean sheet 15%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 62%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
2-08.3%
1-08.3%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Man United
  • Newcastle

Did you know?

  • Newcastle's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Man United have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • Newcastle have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Newcastle's last 10 matches.

H2H

16meetings
  • Man United win · 8 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (12%)
  • Newcastle win · 6 (38%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 69% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.19 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.44 League avg: 3.91
Man United avg. goals 1.69 League avg: 1.42
Newcastle avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 4–1 Man United (13 Apr 25).

Man United vs Newcastle head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Man United have won 8 times, Newcastle have won 6 times and 2 ended in a draw. Man United scored 27 goals and Newcastle scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Newcastle, at home against Man United. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Man United kept 3 clean sheets and Newcastle kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Man United Newcastle
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 10 (1.4 avg)
125 (20.8 avg) Total Shots 85 (12.1 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 25 (3.6 avg)
46 (7.7 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (3.6 avg)
40 (6.7 avg) Corners 32 (4.6 avg)
641 (106.8 avg) Attacks 596 (85.1 avg)
388 (64.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (45.1 avg)
92 (15.3 avg) Key Passes 67 (9.6 avg)
3298 (549.7 avg) Passes 2991 (427.3 avg)
2891 (88%) Pass Accuracy 2503 (84%)
58% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Man United Newcastle
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (2.7 avg)
94 (15.7 avg) Tackles 96 (13.7 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 85 (12.1 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 19 (2.7 avg)
274 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 335 (47.9 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (16.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Man United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)