Newcastle vs Man United

Wed 02 Dec, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 13 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Newcastle win · Most likely 39.8%
Draw 26.8%
Man United win 33.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 56%
Newcastle clean sheet 23%Avg 26%
Man United clean sheet 20%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.8%
1-07.0%
2-05.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Newcastle
  • Man United

Did you know?

  • Newcastle's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Man United have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.
  • Newcastle have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Newcastle's last 10 matches.

H2H

16meetings
  • Newcastle win · 6 (38%)
  • Draw · 2 (12%)
  • Man United win · 8 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 69% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.19 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 3.44 League avg: 3.91
Newcastle avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.42
Man United avg. goals 1.69 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Newcastle 4–1 Man United (13 Apr 25).

Newcastle vs Man United head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Newcastle have won 6 times, Man United have won 8 times and 2 ended in a draw. Newcastle scored 21 goals and Man United scored 27 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Newcastle, at home against Man United. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Newcastle kept 5 clean sheets and Man United kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Man United
10 (1.4 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
85 (12.1 avg) Total Shots 125 (20.8 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Shots on Target 32 (5.3 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (7.7 avg)
32 (4.6 avg) Corners 40 (6.7 avg)
596 (85.1 avg) Attacks 641 (106.8 avg)
316 (45.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 388 (64.7 avg)
67 (9.6 avg) Key Passes 92 (15.3 avg)
2991 (427.3 avg) Passes 3298 (549.7 avg)
2503 (84%) Pass Accuracy 2891 (88%)
52% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Newcastle Man United
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Tackles 94 (15.7 avg)
85 (12.1 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
19 (2.7 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
335 (47.9 avg) Duels Won 274 (45.7 avg)
117 (16.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 75 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Newcastle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Man United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)