Sao Paulo vs Fluminense

Fri 20 Nov, 00:30 UTC · Matchweek 35 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Sao Paulo win · Most likely 42.4%
Draw 30.1%
Fluminense win 27.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 53%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 42%Avg 49%
Sao Paulo clean sheet 35%Avg 34%
Fluminense clean sheet 26%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 86%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 71%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.8%
2-18.8%
2-08.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Sao Paulo
  • Fluminense

Did you know?

  • Fluminense beat Sao Paulo 6-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Whoever has hosted has won 8 of the last 9 meetings between these two.
  • Fluminense's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Fluminense have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
16 May 26 Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo
27 Nov 25 Fluminense 6–0 Sao Paulo
27 Jul 25 Sao Paulo 3–1 Fluminense
01 Sep 24 Fluminense 2–0 Sao Paulo
13 May 24 Sao Paulo 2–1 Fluminense
23 Nov 23 Fluminense 1–0 Sao Paulo
01 Jul 23 Sao Paulo 1–0 Fluminense
05 Nov 22 Fluminense 3–1 Sao Paulo
17 Jul 22 Sao Paulo 2–2 Fluminense
9meetings
  • Sao Paulo win · 3 (33%)
  • Draw · 1 (11%)
  • Fluminense win · 5 (56%)
Avg. total goals 3.11 League avg: 2.59
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 49%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 53%
Whoever hosts wins 89% League avg: 49%
Avg. total corners 8.33 League avg: 10.53
Avg. total cards 5.33 League avg: 4.95
Sao Paulo avg. goals 1.11 League avg: 1.29
Fluminense avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.29

Biggest win: Fluminense 6–0 Sao Paulo (27 Nov 25).

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Sao Paulo have won 3 times, Fluminense have won 5 times and 1 ended in a draw. Sao Paulo scored 10 goals and Fluminense scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 16 May 2026, was won 2-1 by Fluminense, at home against Sao Paulo. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 9 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Sao Paulo kept 1 clean sheet and Fluminense kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Sao Paulo
  • Crosses and headers
  • Set piece heavy
Fluminense
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 8th of 20 58% 2nd of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 14th of 20 0.10 xG a shot 8th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    27% of xG 5th of 20 16% of xG 18th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 4th of 20 20% of shots 9th of 20

Where they differ

  • Sao Paulo get more of their chances from set pieces than Fluminense, 27% against 16%.
  • Fluminense wait for better chances than Sao Paulo, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Fluminense see much more of the ball than Sao Paulo, 58% against 54%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Sao Paulo Fluminense
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 19 (1.9 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Total Shots 127 (12.7 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Shots on Target 52 (5.2 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (2.3 avg)
80 (8.0 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
973 (97.3 avg) Attacks 767 (85.2 avg)
485 (48.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 380 (42.2 avg)
108 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 101 (10.1 avg)
4565 (456.5 avg) Passes 5883 (588.3 avg)
3819 (84%) Pass Accuracy 5232 (89%)
50% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Sao Paulo Fluminense
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
198 (19.8 avg) Tackles 152 (15.2 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Fouls 146 (14.6 avg)
12 (1.5 avg) Offsides 5 (0.6 avg)
534 (53.4 avg) Duels Won 471 (47.1 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 94 (9.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Sao Paulo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Fluminense

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)