St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld

Sat 13 Feb, 10:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

St Pauli win · Most likely 40.9%
Draw 27.4%
Arminia Bielefeld win 31.7%

Limited history for St Pauli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 79%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 58%
St Pauli clean sheet 28%Avg 28%
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet 23%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 67%
Over 9.5 corners 64%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 83%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 71%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.3%
2-18.9%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • St Pauli
  • Arminia Bielefeld

Did you know?

  • St Pauli have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Arminia Bielefeld's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • St Pauli have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of St Pauli's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Sep 26 Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 St Pauli
29 Apr 23 St Pauli 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld
22 Oct 22 Arminia Bielefeld 2–0 St Pauli
3meetings
  • St Pauli win · 1 (33%)
  • Draw · 1 (33%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld win · 1 (33%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.93
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 58%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 45%
Avg. total corners 7.67 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 4.33 League avg: 4.54
St Pauli avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.47
Arminia Bielefeld avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.47

Biggest win: Arminia Bielefeld 2–0 St Pauli (22 Oct 22).

St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, St Pauli have won once, Arminia Bielefeld have won once and 1 ended in a draw. St Pauli scored 4 goals and Arminia Bielefeld scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at Arminia Bielefeld. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Arminia Bielefeld kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

St Pauli
Arminia Bielefeld
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 10th of 18 47% 16th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 10th of 18 0.12 xG a shot 4th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    25% of xG 11th of 18 39% of xG 2nd of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 18 19% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Arminia Bielefeld get more of their chances from set pieces than St Pauli, 39% against 25%.
  • Arminia Bielefeld wait for better chances than St Pauli, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • St Pauli see much more of the ball than Arminia Bielefeld, 49% against 47%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

St Pauli Arminia Bielefeld
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 17 (1.7 avg)
148 (14.8 avg) Total Shots 122 (12.2 avg)
48 (4.8 avg) Shots on Target 35 (3.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 39 (3.9 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
542 (77.4 avg) Attacks 537 (89.5 avg)
294 (42.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 256 (42.7 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 80 (8.0 avg)
4492 (449.2 avg) Passes 3760 (376.0 avg)
3651 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2819 (75%)
49% Ball Possession 42%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

St Pauli Arminia Bielefeld
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
27 (2.7 avg) Yellow Cards 25 (2.5 avg)
176 (17.6 avg) Tackles 160 (16.0 avg)
130 (13.0 avg) Fouls 124 (12.4 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Offsides 18 (2.0 avg)
485 (48.5 avg) Duels Won 500 (50.0 avg)
123 (12.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 170 (17.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

St Pauli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Arminia Bielefeld

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)