Thun vs Luzern

Sat 05 Dec, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Thun win · Most likely 43.8%
Draw 21.4%
Luzern win 34.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 77%Avg 66%
Over 1.5 goals 91%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 77%Avg 64%
Thun clean sheet 14%Avg 22%
Luzern clean sheet 11%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 78%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 57%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 88%
Over 3.5 cards 73%Avg 73%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-17.3%
3-25.3%
3-15.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Thun
  • Luzern

Did you know?

  • Luzern have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Thun have not lost to Luzern in their last 4 meetings.
  • Luzern's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Thun's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Jul 26 Luzern 1–3 Thun
28 Feb 26 Thun 2–1 Luzern
06 Dec 25 Thun 4–1 Luzern
09 Aug 25 Luzern 1–2 Thun
4meetings
  • Thun win · 4 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Luzern win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.75 League avg: 3.27
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 64%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 66%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 14.75 League avg: 10.39
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 4.87
Thun avg. goals 2.75 League avg: 1.64
Luzern avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.64

Biggest win: Thun 4–1 Luzern (06 Dec 25).

Thun vs Luzern head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Thun have won 4 times, Luzern have not won and none ended in a draw. Thun scored 11 goals and Luzern scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Jul 2026, was won 3-1 by Thun, away at Luzern. Thun have won each of the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 4 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 12 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Thun
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
Luzern
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 11th of 12 49% 7th of 12
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 11th of 12 0.11 xG a shot 6th of 12
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    37% of xG 1st of 12 25% of xG 7th of 12
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 12 14% of shots 12th of 12

Where they differ

  • Thun get more of their chances from set pieces than Luzern, 37% against 25%.
  • Luzern wait for better chances than Thun, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Luzern see much more of the ball than Thun, 49% against 46%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Thun Luzern
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
158 (15.8 avg) Total Shots 170 (17.0 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 52 (5.2 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 49 (4.9 avg)
56 (5.6 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
835 (83.5 avg) Attacks 851 (85.1 avg)
524 (52.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 497 (49.7 avg)
108 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 131 (13.1 avg)
3644 (364.4 avg) Passes 3756 (375.6 avg)
2784 (76%) Pass Accuracy 2845 (76%)
50% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Thun Luzern
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
24 (2.4 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
183 (18.3 avg) Tackles 169 (16.9 avg)
167 (16.7 avg) Fouls 137 (13.7 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 21 (2.1 avg)
522 (52.2 avg) Duels Won 452 (45.2 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 118 (11.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Thun

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Luzern

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)