Match summary
Augsburg beat Hoffenheim 1-0, with a late winner. It was goalless at half-time.
Fredrik Jensen put Augsburg ahead from a corner in the 88th minute, set up by Jeffrey Gouweleeuw.
The chances backed that up: Augsburg created 1.52 expected goals (xG) from 13 shots to Hoffenheim's 0.45 from 8.
Before kick-off
Augsburg win
36%
Avg odds 2.63
Draw
27%
Avg odds 3.60
Hoffenheim win
37%
Avg odds 2.60
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.