Match summary
Hoffenheim beat Mainz 1-0 on the road. Hoffenheim led 1-0 at half-time.
Ihlas Bebou put Hoffenheim ahead in the 43rd minute, set up by Diadie Samassékou.
The chances backed that up: Hoffenheim created 1.71 expected goals (xG) from 12 shots to Mainz's 1.08 from 18. Steven Zuber had a penalty saved for Hoffenheim.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
39%
Avg odds 2.43
Draw
26%
Avg odds 3.70
Hoffenheim win
35%
Avg odds 2.73
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.