Mainz vs Hoffenheim

Wed 13 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 48.6%
Draw 23.5%
Hoffenheim win 27.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 67%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 65%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 23%Avg 26%
Hoffenheim clean sheet 14%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 75%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 64%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.2%
1-06.4%
2-06.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Hoffenheim

Did you know?

  • Hoffenheim's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Hoffenheim's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 matches.
  • Hoffenheim's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Apr 26 Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz
21 Nov 25 Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim
12 Apr 25 Hoffenheim 2–0 Mainz
01 Dec 24 Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim
13 Apr 24 Mainz 4–1 Hoffenheim
26 Nov 23 Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz
04 Mar 23 Mainz 1–0 Hoffenheim
10 Sep 22 Hoffenheim 4–1 Mainz
05 Feb 22 Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim
11 Sep 21 Hoffenheim 0–2 Mainz
21 Mar 21 Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz
29 Nov 20 Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim
30 May 20 Mainz 0–1 Hoffenheim
24 Nov 19 Hoffenheim 1–5 Mainz
18 May 19 Mainz 4–2 Hoffenheim
23 Dec 18 Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz
16meetings
  • Mainz win · 9 (56%)
  • Draw · 4 (25%)
  • Hoffenheim win · 3 (19%)
Avg. total goals 2.88 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.31 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.81 League avg: 1.60
Hoffenheim avg. goals 1.06 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Hoffenheim 1–5 Mainz (24 Nov 19).

Mainz vs Hoffenheim head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Mainz have won 9 times, Hoffenheim have won 3 times and 4 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 29 goals and Hoffenheim scored 17 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Mainz, away at Hoffenheim. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 4 clean sheets and Hoffenheim kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Hoffenheim
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 9 (1.8 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 93 (18.6 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 24 (4.8 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 35 (7.0 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 34 (6.8 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 667 (133.4 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 350 (70.0 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 73 (14.6 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 2551 (510.2 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 2086 (82%)
51% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Hoffenheim
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 11 (2.2 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 78 (15.6 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 67 (13.4 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 9 (2.2 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 263 (52.6 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 108 (21.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Hoffenheim

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)