Match summary
Mainz beat Hoffenheim 1-0. Mainz led 1-0 at half-time.
Leandro Barreiro Martins put Mainz ahead from a corner in the 33rd minute.
The chances backed that up: Mainz created 1.05 expected goals (xG) from 16 shots to Hoffenheim's 0.62 from 15.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
50%
Avg odds 1.93
Draw
26%
Avg odds 3.71
Hoffenheim win
24%
Avg odds 3.92
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.