Match summary
Mainz won 2-0 at home to Hoffenheim. It was goalless at half-time.
Jae-Sung Lee put Mainz ahead in the 79th minute, set up by Karim Onisiwo and Moussa Niakhate made it 2-0 from the penalty spot in the 83rd minute.
The chances backed that up: Mainz created 1.78 expected goals (xG) from 10 shots to Hoffenheim's 1.32 from 16.
Before kick-off
Mainz win
36%
Avg odds 2.70
Draw
28%
Avg odds 3.39
Hoffenheim win
36%
Avg odds 2.64
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.