Wolfsburg vs Mainz

8 December 2024 · Bundesliga · 2024/25 · Referee Timo Gerach

Full time 4 – 3

Half-time: 1–2

  • Mohammed Amoura 19’
  • Tiago Tomás 57’
  • Jonas Wind 83’, 90+4’
  • Paul Nebel 11’, 66’
  • Jonathan Burkardt 39’

Match summary

Wolfsburg came from behind to win 4-3 at home to Mainz, with the winner arriving in stoppage time. Mainz led 2-1 at half-time.

In the first half, Paul Nebel put Mainz ahead in the 11th minute, set up by Jae-Sung Lee, Mohammed Amoura equalised in the 19th minute, and Jonathan Burkardt put Mainz back in front in the 39th minute, set up by Stefan Bell. In the second half, Tiago Tomás equalised in the 57th minute, set up by Mohammed Amoura, Nebel put Mainz back in front in the 66th minute, set up by Jonathan Burkardt, Jonas Wind equalised in the 83rd minute, set up by Joakim Maehle, and Wind won it with a header in stoppage time, set up by Maximilian Arnold.

Mainz can feel hard done by, creating 3.02 expected goals (xG) from 12 shots to Wolfsburg's 1.49 from 10.

Match stats

Wolfsburg Mainz
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
1.49 xG 3.02
1.49 Non-penalty xG 3.02
8 Deep Completions 6

Key events

Wolfsburg Mainz
Kick-off
11’
Paul Nebel
Assist: Jae-Sung Lee0-1 (Mainz)
Mohammed Amoura1-1 (Wolfsburg)
19’
39’
Jonathan Burkardt
Assist: Stefan Bell1-2 (Mainz)
Half-time1-2
Tiago Tomás
Assist: Mohammed Amoura2-2 (Wolfsburg)
57’
66’
Paul Nebel
Assist: Jonathan Burkardt2-3 (Mainz)
Jonas Wind
Assist: Joakim Maehle3-3 (Wolfsburg)
83’
Jonas Wind
Assist: Maximilian Arnold4-3 (Wolfsburg)
90+4’
Full-time4-3

Bookings

Card times are not on file for this game, so they are listed without a minute.

Wolfsburg
  • Bote Baku
  • Maximilian Arnold
  • Tiago Tomás
Mainz
  • Dominik Kohr
  • Nadiem Amiri
  • Jae-Sung Lee
  • Maxim Leitsch

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0 1 2 3 4 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.49 3.02 11’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), 0-1 11’ 19’ Mohammed Amoura (Wolfsburg), 1-1 19’ 39’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), 1-2 39’ 57’ Tiago Tomás (Wolfsburg), 2-2 57’ 66’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), 2-3 66’ 83’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), 3-3 83’ 90+4’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), 4-3 90+4’ 0 1 2 3 4 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.49 3.02 11’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), 0-1 Nebel 11’ 19’ Mohammed Amoura (Wolfsburg), 1-1 Amoura 19’ 39’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), 1-2 Burkardt 39’ 57’ Tiago Tomás (Wolfsburg), 2-2 Tomás 57’ 66’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), 2-3 Nebel 66’ 83’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), 3-3 Wind 83’ 90+4’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), 4-3 Wind 90+4’
Wolfsburg 1.49 xGMainz 3.02 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Mainz attacking Wolfsburg attacking 
39’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.82 xG, goal 19’ Mohammed Amoura (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.70 xG, goal 66’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), open play, 0.55 xG, goal 79’ Anthony Caci (Mainz), open play, 0.41 xG, saved 11’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), open play, 0.37 xG, goal 10’ Philipp Mwene (Mainz), open play, 0.34 xG, off target 90+4’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.32 xG, goal 42’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.13 xG, off target 17’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.12 xG, off target 57’ Tiago Tomás (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.10 xG, goal 66’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.09 xG, saved 53’ Denis Vavro (Wolfsburg), from a corner, 0.08 xG, off target 52’ Kilian Fischer (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.08 xG, blocked 83’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.08 xG, goal 50’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.07 xG, blocked 28’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), direct free kick, 0.05 xG, off target 47’ Dominik Kohr (Mainz), from a corner, 0.05 xG, off target 49’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), direct free kick, 0.04 xG, blocked 82’ Joakim Maehle (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.05 xG, off target 53’ Bote Baku (Wolfsburg), from a corner, 0.04 xG, saved 65’ Dominik Kohr (Mainz), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 59’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 39’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.82 xG, goal 19’ Mohammed Amoura (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.70 xG, goal 66’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), open play, 0.55 xG, goal 79’ Anthony Caci (Mainz), open play, 0.41 xG, saved 11’ Paul Nebel (Mainz), open play, 0.37 xG, goal 10’ Philipp Mwene (Mainz), open play, 0.34 xG, off target 90+4’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.32 xG, goal 42’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.13 xG, off target 17’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.12 xG, off target 57’ Tiago Tomás (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.10 xG, goal 66’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.09 xG, saved 53’ Denis Vavro (Wolfsburg), from a corner, 0.08 xG, off target 52’ Kilian Fischer (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.08 xG, blocked 83’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.08 xG, goal 50’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.07 xG, blocked 28’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), direct free kick, 0.05 xG, off target 47’ Dominik Kohr (Mainz), from a corner, 0.05 xG, off target 82’ Joakim Maehle (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.05 xG, off target 49’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), direct free kick, 0.04 xG, blocked 53’ Bote Baku (Wolfsburg), from a corner, 0.04 xG, saved 65’ Dominik Kohr (Mainz), open play, 0.01 xG, blocked 59’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.01 xG, off target
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Player stats

PlayerPosMinGAShxGxAKPCards
Kamil Grabara GK900 0.000.000
Kilian Fischer DEF841 0.080.000
Konstantinos Koulierakis DEF900 0.000.000
Denis Vavro DEF901 0.080.000
Joakim Maehle DEF9011 0.050.081
Bote Baku MID901 0.040.000
Maximilian Arnold MID9012 0.050.321
Bence Dárdai MID720 0.000.000
Patrick Wimmer MID490 0.000.000
Tiago Tomás FWD8411 0.100.081
Mohammed Amoura FWD72111 0.700.101
Jonas Wind Sub4122 0.390.000
Yannick Gerhardt Sub180 0.000.000
Lukas Nmecha Sub180 0.000.000
Kevin Behrens Sub60 0.000.000
Jakub Kaminski Sub60 0.000.000

Starters first, then substitutes. xA is expected assists.

Before kick-off

Wolfsburg win 45% Avg odds 2.12
Draw 28% Avg odds 3.40
Mainz win 27% Avg odds 3.60

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Wolfsburg DDWWW
Mainz DDWWW

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

 Previous meeting: Wolfsburg 1-3 Mainz, 18 May 24 Next meeting: Mainz 2-2 Wolfsburg, 19 Apr 25  All Wolfsburg vs Mainz meetings

Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.