Wolfsburg vs Mainz

18 May 2024 · Bundesliga · 2023/24 · Referee Frank Willenborg

Full time 1 – 3

Half-time: 1–1

  • Kevin Paredes 18’
  • Brajan Gruda 24’
  • Sepp van den Berg 71’
  • Jonathan Burkardt 85’

Match summary

Mainz came from behind to win 3-1 away at Wolfsburg. It was 1-1 at half-time.

In the first half, Kevin Paredes put Wolfsburg ahead in the 18th minute, set up by Jakub Kaminski and Brajan Gruda equalised in the 24th minute, set up by Nadiem Amiri. In the second half, Sepp van den Berg put Mainz in front in the 71st minute and Jonathan Burkardt made it 1-3 with a header in the 85th minute, set up by Brajan Gruda.

The chances backed that up: Mainz created 2.48 expected goals (xG) from 12 shots to Wolfsburg's 1.53 from 14.

Match stats

Wolfsburg Mainz
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1.52 xG 2.37
1.52 Non-penalty xG 2.37
8 Deep Completions 4

Key events

Wolfsburg Mainz
Kick-off
Kevin Paredes
Assist: Jakub Kaminski1-0 (Wolfsburg)
18’
24’
Brajan Gruda
Assist: Nadiem Amiri1-1 (Mainz)
Half-time1-1
71’
Sepp van den Berg1-2 (Mainz)
85’
Jonathan Burkardt
Assist: Brajan Gruda1-3 (Mainz)
Full-time1-3

Bookings

Card times are not on file for this game, so they are listed without a minute.

Wolfsburg
  • Lovro Majer
  • Patrick Wimmer
Mainz
  • Dominik Kohr
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  • Jae-Sung Lee

How the chances added up

Running total of expected goals (xG) for each side through the match. xG rates each chance by how often similar shots are scored. A goal is marked where it was scored.

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.53 2.48 18’ Kevin Paredes (Wolfsburg), 1-0 18’ 24’ Brajan Gruda (Mainz), 1-1 24’ 71’ Sepp van den Berg (Mainz), 1-2 71’ 85’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), 1-3 85’ 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 0’ 15’ 30’ 45’ 60’ 75’ 90’ HT 1.53 2.48 18’ Kevin Paredes (Wolfsburg), 1-0 Paredes 18’ 24’ Brajan Gruda (Mainz), 1-1 Gruda 24’ 71’ Sepp van den Berg (Mainz), 1-2 van den Berg 71’ 85’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), 1-3 Burkardt 85’
Wolfsburg 1.53 xGMainz 2.48 xG Goal

Tap a goal for the scorer and score.

Shot map

Every shot and where it was taken from.

 Mainz attacking Wolfsburg attacking 
71’ Sepp van den Berg (Mainz), set piece, 0.95 xG, goal 85’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.59 xG, goal 7’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.56 xG, off target 18’ Kevin Paredes (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.55 xG, goal 24’ Brajan Gruda (Mainz), open play, 0.46 xG, goal 3’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.12 xG, off target 71’ Sepp van den Berg (Mainz), set piece, 0.11 xG, saved 26’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.09 xG, blocked 55’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.07 xG, off target 62’ Brajan Gruda (Mainz), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 35’ Philipp Mwene (Mainz), set piece, 0.06 xG, off target 69’ Patrick Wimmer (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 44’ Philipp Mwene (Mainz), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 13’ Bote Baku (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 23’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), direct free kick, 0.04 xG, saved 5’ Lovro Majer (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 80’ Cédric Zesiger (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 36’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 13’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 42’ Leandro Barreiro Martins (Mainz), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 31’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 33’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 38’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 45’ Maxence Lacroix (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.02 xG, blocked 83’ Cédric Zesiger (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 90+5’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 71’ Sepp van den Berg (Mainz), set piece, 0.95 xG, goal 85’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.59 xG, goal 7’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.56 xG, off target 18’ Kevin Paredes (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.55 xG, goal 24’ Brajan Gruda (Mainz), open play, 0.46 xG, goal 3’ Jonathan Burkardt (Mainz), open play, 0.12 xG, off target 71’ Sepp van den Berg (Mainz), set piece, 0.11 xG, saved 26’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.09 xG, blocked 55’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.07 xG, off target 62’ Brajan Gruda (Mainz), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 35’ Philipp Mwene (Mainz), set piece, 0.06 xG, off target 69’ Patrick Wimmer (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.06 xG, off target 44’ Philipp Mwene (Mainz), open play, 0.05 xG, saved 13’ Bote Baku (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.04 xG, blocked 23’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), direct free kick, 0.04 xG, saved 5’ Lovro Majer (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.03 xG, blocked 80’ Cédric Zesiger (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.03 xG, off target 36’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 42’ Leandro Barreiro Martins (Mainz), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 13’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 33’ Jonas Wind (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.02 xG, saved 31’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), open play, 0.02 xG, off target 45’ Maxence Lacroix (Wolfsburg), set piece, 0.02 xG, blocked 38’ Nadiem Amiri (Mainz), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 83’ Cédric Zesiger (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.01 xG, off target 90+5’ Maximilian Arnold (Wolfsburg), open play, 0.01 xG, off target
Size shows xG Goal On target Off target or blocked

Hover or tap a shot for the player, minute and xG.

Player stats

PlayerPosMinGAShxGxAKPCards
Koen Casteels GK900 0.000.000
Sebastiaan Bornauw DEF900 0.000.000
Maxence Lacroix DEF901 0.020.000
Cédric Zesiger DEF902 0.040.000
Kilian Fischer MID900 0.000.061
Jakub Kaminski MID9010 0.000.551
Lovro Majer MID901 0.030.603
Maximilian Arnold MID903 0.070.092
Bote Baku FWD791 0.040.091
Jonas Wind FWD794 0.730.000
Kevin Paredes FWD4911 0.550.031
Patrick Wimmer Sub341 0.060.000
Václav Cerny Sub110 0.000.000
Kevin Behrens Sub110 0.000.000
Bennit Bröger Sub70 0.000.000

Starters first, then substitutes. xA is expected assists.

Before kick-off

Wolfsburg win 30% Avg odds 3.20
Draw 27% Avg odds 3.54
Mainz win 43% Avg odds 2.24

Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.

Form going into the game

Wolfsburg LWWWL
Mainz WDDDW

Last five league games before this one, oldest first. Select one to open it.

Previous and next meeting

 Previous meeting: Mainz 1-1 Wolfsburg, 13 Jan 24 Next meeting: Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz, 08 Dec 24  All Wolfsburg vs Mainz meetings

Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.