Mainz and Bayern Munich have met 16 times in our records, and every one of those games had more than 2.5 goals. Hold on to that before Saturday's 14:30 kick-off at the Mewa Arena, where Bayern are 1.40 at the best price on our Mainz v Bayern Munich fixture page, the draw is 7.20 and Mainz 8.20. Bayern lead the Bundesliga on 18 points and have not lost. Mainz are ninth, have lost their last two and are yet to win at home this season. Here is what the form, injuries, head to head and prices say about a game that rarely stays quiet.
Unbeaten Bayern against a leaky Mainz
Bayern Munich are top on 18 points from eight games, with five wins and three draws, and their 27 goals are the most in the league. The latest results show how they win: 7-0 against Union Berlin on 18 September, 6-1 against RB Leipzig on 17 October and a 3-1 win at Freiburg a week later. Then came a 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund on 31 October, a reminder that three draws are all that separate them from a perfect start. Mainz are ninth on 10 points with three wins, a draw and four defeats. They have conceded 14 goals in their last five league games and lost the last two, 2-3 at home to Werder Bremen and 1-4 at Elversberg. At the Mewa Arena they have no win, one draw and three defeats, with six scored and 10 conceded. Away from home they have won three of four.
A fixture that never stays quiet
Of the 16 meetings on our site, Bayern have won 11, Mainz four and one was drawn, with Bayern scoring 54 goals to Mainz's 25. The goals are the story. Both teams scored in 14 of the 16, and all 16 had more than 2.5 goals. The latest was a 4-3 Bayern win at Mainz on 25 April 2026, and before that came a 2-2 at Bayern on 14 December 2025. Mainz's most recent win was 2-1 at home on 14 December 2024, and Bayern are unbeaten in the last three meetings, including a 3-0 win on 26 April 2025. Go back to 9 March 2024 and Bayern won 8-1. Bayern have kept only two clean sheets in all 16. That is the history behind the market many bettors check first, over 2.5 goals, although our fixture page carries no price for it.
Who is missing
Bayern's list is short, but one name stands out. Ismael Saibari, an ever-present this season, is injured with an ankle problem and listed as expected back on 10 February 2027. Serge Gnabry is injured with a hamstring problem and Bara Sapoko Ndiaye has appendicitis, and both are listed as expected back on 20 November. Mainz have three names listed and our page marks none of them as a key absence: Otto Ruoppi (knee, listed as expected back on 10 November), Dominik Kohr (ankle) and Silas (broken ankle), the last two both listed as expected back on 10 January 2027. The referee is Robert Schröder, who has 14 league matches on file and averages 4.0 cards a game, a shade above the Bundesliga average of 3.86. Check team news again about an hour before kick-off, as lists change.
The odds: what 1.40, 7.20 and 8.20 say
The best prices on our fixture page, captured at 16:09 UTC on Friday 6 November from 21 bookmakers (the grid was last updated at 13:16 UTC), are Bayern Munich 1.40 at Bet Victor, the draw 7.20 at Betfair and Mainz 8.20 at Betfair. Divide 1 by each price and the market is implying roughly 71 per cent for Bayern, 14 for the draw and 12 for Mainz, before any bookmaker margin. The draw deserves a second look. Only one of the 16 meetings was drawn, about 6 per cent, yet 7.20 implies about 14, and Bayern have drawn three of their eight games this season. Mainz have won four of the 16, a quarter, which is why the longer price tempts some bettors, but they have lost three of four at home this season. Each price is the best at one bookmaker, and prices move before kick-off.
Goals and scorers
Our fixture pages carry match-result prices only, so we show none for goals or scorers. The numbers still say a lot. Mainz's games have averaged 4.25 goals and Bayern's 4.4, against 3.50 across the Bundesliga. Michael Olise leads Bayern with six goals in eight games, Harry Kane has four in eight and Luis Díaz four in six. For Mainz, Phillip Tietz has five in eight and Anthony Caci three. Over 2.5 goals in all 16 meetings is striking history, but a bookmaker's line already knows it, so compare the price you are offered with the record rather than assuming it is generous. A draw no bet market refunds your stake if the game ends level, which takes the 7.20 outcome out of play and shortens the price on the favourite.
Table and what comes next
Going into Matchweek 9, Bayern and Borussia Dortmund are level on 18 points at the top of the Bundesliga table, with Bayern ahead on goal difference, +19 to +8. Dortmund host Elversberg at the same 14:30 kick-off, so both results arrive together. A Bayern win takes them to 21. Mainz, ninth on 10, are a point behind Eintracht Frankfurt on 11 and a point ahead of six clubs on nine, so a home win would lift them to 13, level on current points with Bayer Leverkusen and Elversberg. The prices above are the best on our fixture page when we captured them, and they move. Every game of the round, with live prices, form and lineups, is on our Bundesliga Matchweek 9 fixtures page.
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Photo credits
The cover shows the Mewa Arena in February 2024, not this match. Photograph by Davicilio20, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons, adapted with club badges, a red VS and a kick-off label.
