Arouca vs Casa Pia

Sun 20 Dec, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Arouca win · Most likely 51.7%
Draw 24.1%
Casa Pia win 24.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 52%
Arouca clean sheet 38%Avg 31%
Casa Pia clean sheet 21%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 55%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 41%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 90%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 78%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-013.8%
2-19.6%
2-09.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Arouca
  • Casa Pia

Did you know?

  • Casa Pia have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Casa Pia's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Arouca have won 7 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Arouca's matches have averaged 2.0 goals per game over their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 26 Casa Pia 3–2 Arouca
14 Sep 25 Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia
04 May 25 Arouca 0–0 Casa Pia
20 Dec 24 Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca
18 Feb 24 Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca
17 Sep 23 Arouca 0–1 Casa Pia
25 Feb 23 Arouca 2–0 Casa Pia
04 Sep 22 Casa Pia 0–0 Arouca
8meetings
  • Arouca win · 1 (12%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Casa Pia win · 5 (62%)
Avg. total goals 1.88 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 8.75 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.00 League avg: 4.95
Arouca avg. goals 0.62 League avg: 1.32
Casa Pia avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Arouca 0–2 Casa Pia (14 Sep 25).

Arouca vs Casa Pia head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Arouca have won once, Casa Pia have won 5 times and 2 ended in a draw. Arouca scored 5 goals and Casa Pia scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, was won 3-2 by Casa Pia, at home against Arouca. Casa Pia are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 8 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Arouca kept 3 clean sheets and Casa Pia kept 5.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Arouca
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
Casa Pia
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    52% 7th of 18 40% 18th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.08 xG a shot 17th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 16th of 18 30% of xG 6th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 5th of 18 16% of shots 14th of 18

Where they differ

  • Arouca see much more of the ball than Casa Pia, 52% against 40%.
  • Arouca wait for better chances than Casa Pia, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.08.
  • Casa Pia get more of their chances from set pieces than Arouca, 30% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Arouca Casa Pia
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 6 (0.6 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 101 (10.1 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 27 (2.7 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Blocked Shots 22 (2.2 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
775 (86.1 avg) Attacks 538 (76.9 avg)
395 (43.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 255 (36.4 avg)
87 (8.7 avg) Key Passes 64 (7.1 avg)
4891 (489.1 avg) Passes 3308 (330.8 avg)
4235 (87%) Pass Accuracy 2531 (76%)
53% Ball Possession 42%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Arouca Casa Pia
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 121 (12.1 avg)
9 (1.0 avg) Offsides 10 (1.1 avg)
394 (39.4 avg) Duels Won 454 (50.4 avg)
103 (10.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 142 (15.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Arouca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Casa Pia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)