Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes

Sun 17 Jan, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 18 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Arouca win · Most likely 37.7%
Draw 26.2%
Vitoria Guimaraes win 36.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 68%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 52%
Arouca clean sheet 30%Avg 31%
Vitoria Guimaraes clean sheet 29%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 55%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 42%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 92%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 81%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.3%
2-18.1%
2-06.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Arouca
  • Vitoria Guimaraes

Did you know?

  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of the last 11 meetings between these two.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have underscored their xG by 0.50 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

11meetings
  • Arouca win · 4 (36%)
  • Draw · 4 (36%)
  • Vitoria Guimaraes win · 3 (27%)
Avg. total goals 3.09 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 73% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 18% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 9.82 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.45 League avg: 4.95
Arouca avg. goals 1.64 League avg: 1.32
Vitoria Guimaraes avg. goals 1.45 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Arouca 1–3 Vitoria Guimaraes (18 May 24).

Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Arouca have won 4 times, Vitoria Guimaraes have won 3 times and 4 ended in a draw. Arouca scored 18 goals and Vitoria Guimaraes scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, was won 1-0 by Arouca, away at Vitoria Guimaraes. Arouca are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 8 of 11 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Arouca kept 2 clean sheets and Vitoria Guimaraes kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Arouca
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Crosses and headers
Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    52% 7th of 18 54% 5th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 5th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 13th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 16th of 18 23% of xG 13th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 5th of 18 22% of shots 3rd of 18

Where they differ

  • Arouca wait for better chances than Vitoria Guimaraes, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Arouca Vitoria Guimaraes
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
115 (11.5 avg) Total Shots 169 (16.9 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 43 (4.3 avg)
20 (2.0 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
36 (3.6 avg) Corners 55 (5.5 avg)
775 (86.1 avg) Attacks N/A
395 (43.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks N/A
87 (8.7 avg) Key Passes 122 (12.2 avg)
4891 (489.1 avg) Passes 4484 (448.4 avg)
4235 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3690 (82%)
53% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Arouca Vitoria Guimaraes
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Yellow Cards 26 (2.6 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Tackles 177 (17.7 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Fouls 162 (16.2 avg)
9 (1.0 avg) Offsides 11 (1.1 avg)
394 (39.4 avg) Duels Won 499 (49.9 avg)
103 (10.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 155 (15.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Arouca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Vitoria Guimaraes

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)