Aston Villa vs Leeds

Sat 26 Dec, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa win · Most likely 39.9%
Draw 28.5%
Leeds win 31.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 56%
Aston Villa clean sheet 28%Avg 26%
Leeds clean sheet 23%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 72%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.9%
1-08.7%
2-06.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Aston Villa
  • Leeds

Did you know?

  • Leeds have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Aston Villa's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Leeds beat Aston Villa 0-3 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Aston Villa's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 5 of their last 10.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Feb 26 Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds
23 Nov 25 Leeds 1–2 Aston Villa
13 Jan 23 Aston Villa 2–1 Leeds
02 Oct 22 Leeds 0–0 Aston Villa
10 Mar 22 Leeds 0–3 Aston Villa
09 Feb 22 Aston Villa 3–3 Leeds
27 Feb 21 Leeds 0–1 Aston Villa
23 Oct 20 Aston Villa 0–3 Leeds
8meetings
  • Aston Villa win · 4 (50%)
  • Draw · 3 (38%)
  • Leeds win · 1 (12%)
Avg. total goals 2.62 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 12% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.62 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 5.38 League avg: 3.91
Aston Villa avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.42
Leeds avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Leeds 0–3 Aston Villa (10 Mar 22).

Aston Villa vs Leeds head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Aston Villa have won 4 times, Leeds have won once and 3 ended in a draw. Aston Villa scored 12 goals and Leeds scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 21 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Aston Villa. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa kept 3 clean sheets and Leeds kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Leeds
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 8 (1.3 avg)
83 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 72 (12.0 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Shots on Target 23 (3.8 avg)
26 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 27 (4.5 avg)
22 (3.1 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
616 (88.0 avg) Attacks 566 (94.3 avg)
264 (37.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 209 (34.8 avg)
64 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 41 (6.8 avg)
2858 (408.3 avg) Passes 2157 (359.5 avg)
2371 (83%) Pass Accuracy 1666 (77%)
47% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Aston Villa Leeds
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 11 (1.8 avg)
121 (17.3 avg) Tackles 99 (16.5 avg)
75 (10.7 avg) Fouls 73 (12.2 avg)
7 (1.0 avg) Offsides 15 (2.5 avg)
327 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 342 (57.0 avg)
70 (10.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 126 (21.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Aston Villa

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Leeds

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)