Birmingham vs Burnley

Sat 01 May, 11:30 UTC · Matchweek 46 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Birmingham win · Most likely 54.8%
Draw 23.3%
Burnley win 21.9%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 51%
Birmingham clean sheet 30%Avg 28%
Burnley clean sheet 14%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.8%
1-08.3%
2-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Birmingham
  • Burnley

Did you know?

  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Birmingham's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Dec 22 Burnley 3–0 Birmingham
19 Oct 22 Birmingham 1–1 Burnley
2meetings
  • Birmingham win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (50%)
  • Burnley win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 7.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 3.82
Birmingham avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31
Burnley avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 3–0 Birmingham (27 Dec 22).

Birmingham vs Burnley head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Birmingham have not won, Burnley have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Birmingham scored 1 goal and Burnley scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 27 Dec 2022, was won 3-0 by Burnley, at home against Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Burnley kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 10th of 24 48% 17th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 4th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 8th of 24 22% of xG 17th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    21% of shots 8th of 24 12% of shots 24th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham go more through the air than Burnley, 21% of shots against 12%.
  • Birmingham wait for better chances than Burnley, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Birmingham get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 32% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Burnley
21 (2.1 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
793 (88.1 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
401 (44.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 351 (39.0 avg)
106 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 94 (9.4 avg)
4236 (423.6 avg) Passes 4093 (409.3 avg)
3249 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3218 (79%)
52% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Birmingham Burnley
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 94 (9.4 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Offsides 30 (3.3 avg)
498 (49.8 avg) Duels Won 403 (40.3 avg)
197 (19.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 105 (10.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)