Bournemouth vs Brighton

Wed 02 Dec, 20:00 UTC · Matchweek 13 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bournemouth win · Most likely 39.1%
Draw 27.5%
Brighton win 33.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 55%Avg 56%
Bournemouth clean sheet 25%Avg 26%
Brighton clean sheet 22%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 73%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 61%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.8%
1-07.6%
2-06.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bournemouth
  • Brighton

Did you know?

  • Bournemouth have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Bournemouth have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • Brighton beat Bournemouth 0-5 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Jan 26 Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth
13 Sep 25 Bournemouth 2–1 Brighton
25 Feb 25 Brighton 2–1 Bournemouth
23 Nov 24 Bournemouth 1–2 Brighton
28 Apr 24 Bournemouth 3–0 Brighton
24 Sep 23 Brighton 3–1 Bournemouth
04 Apr 23 Bournemouth 0–2 Brighton
04 Feb 23 Brighton 1–0 Bournemouth
21 Jan 20 Bournemouth 3–1 Brighton
28 Dec 19 Brighton 2–0 Bournemouth
13 Apr 19 Brighton 0–5 Bournemouth
22 Dec 18 Bournemouth 2–0 Brighton
12meetings
  • Bournemouth win · 5 (42%)
  • Draw · 1 (8%)
  • Brighton win · 6 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.83 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 58% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.25 League avg: 3.91
Bournemouth avg. goals 1.58 League avg: 1.42
Brighton avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Brighton 0–5 Bournemouth (13 Apr 19).

Bournemouth vs Brighton head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Bournemouth have won 5 times, Brighton have won 6 times and 1 ended in a draw. Bournemouth scored 19 goals and Brighton scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Brighton. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 12 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Bournemouth kept 3 clean sheets and Brighton kept 3.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bournemouth Brighton
7 (1.2 avg) Goals 18 (3.0 avg)
77 (12.8 avg) Total Shots 108 (18.0 avg)
30 (5.0 avg) Shots on Target 33 (5.5 avg)
20 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 21 (3.5 avg)
28 (4.7 avg) Corners 32 (5.3 avg)
624 (104.0 avg) Attacks 642 (107.0 avg)
243 (40.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 327 (54.5 avg)
56 (9.3 avg) Key Passes 70 (11.7 avg)
2452 (408.7 avg) Passes 3042 (507.0 avg)
1975 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (85%)
48% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bournemouth Brighton
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Yellow Cards 13 (2.2 avg)
97 (16.2 avg) Tackles 84 (14.0 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Fouls 76 (12.7 avg)
9 (1.5 avg) Offsides 12 (2.4 avg)
301 (50.2 avg) Duels Won 282 (47.0 avg)
105 (17.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bournemouth

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)