Brighton vs Nott'm Forest

Sat 01 May, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 34 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Brighton win · Most likely 46.6%
Draw 26.4%
Nott'm Forest win 27.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 56%
Brighton clean sheet 28%Avg 26%
Nott'm Forest clean sheet 18%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.5%
1-07.9%
2-07.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Brighton
  • Nott'm Forest

Did you know?

  • Nott'm Forest have underscored their xG by 0.79 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Nott'm Forest beat Brighton 7-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Brighton's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Nott'm Forest have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Mar 26 Brighton 2–1 Nott'm Forest
30 Nov 25 Nott'm Forest 0–2 Brighton
01 Feb 25 Nott'm Forest 7–0 Brighton
22 Sep 24 Brighton 2–2 Nott'm Forest
10 Mar 24 Brighton 1–0 Nott'm Forest
25 Nov 23 Nott'm Forest 2–3 Brighton
26 Apr 23 Nott'm Forest 3–1 Brighton
18 Oct 22 Brighton 0–0 Nott'm Forest
8meetings
  • Brighton win · 4 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • Nott'm Forest win · 2 (25%)
Avg. total goals 3.25 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.62 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.75 League avg: 3.91
Brighton avg. goals 1.38 League avg: 1.42
Nott'm Forest avg. goals 1.88 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Nott'm Forest 7–0 Brighton (01 Feb 25).

Brighton vs Nott'm Forest head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Brighton have won 4 times, Nott'm Forest have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Brighton scored 11 goals and Nott'm Forest scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Brighton, at home against Nott'm Forest. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Brighton kept 3 clean sheets and Nott'm Forest kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Brighton Nott'm Forest
18 (3.0 avg) Goals 5 (0.8 avg)
108 (18.0 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)
33 (5.5 avg) Shots on Target 23 (3.8 avg)
21 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 34 (5.7 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Corners 25 (4.2 avg)
642 (107.0 avg) Attacks 523 (87.2 avg)
327 (54.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 307 (51.2 avg)
70 (11.7 avg) Key Passes 78 (13.0 avg)
3042 (507.0 avg) Passes 2366 (394.3 avg)
2599 (85%) Pass Accuracy 1889 (80%)
60% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Brighton Nott'm Forest
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.5 avg)
84 (14.0 avg) Tackles 103 (17.2 avg)
76 (12.7 avg) Fouls 85 (14.2 avg)
12 (2.4 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
282 (47.0 avg) Duels Won 328 (54.7 avg)
111 (18.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 111 (18.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Brighton

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Nott'm Forest

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)