Bristol City vs Burnley

Sat 10 Apr, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 42 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Bristol City win 36.3%
Draw 26.9%
Burnley win · Most likely 36.8%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 58%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 51%
Bristol City clean sheet 24%Avg 28%
Burnley clean sheet 24%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 63%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 51%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 68%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 46%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.4%
0-18.2%
0-25.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Bristol City
  • Burnley

Did you know?

  • Bristol City have underscored their xG by 0.86 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
05 Sep 26 Burnley 1–2 Bristol City
29 Mar 25 Burnley 1–0 Bristol City
23 Nov 24 Bristol City 0–1 Burnley
29 Apr 23 Bristol City 1–2 Burnley
17 Sep 22 Burnley 2–1 Bristol City
5meetings
  • Bristol City win · 1 (20%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Burnley win · 4 (80%)
Avg. total goals 2.20 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 60% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 60% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.40 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 2.60 League avg: 3.82
Bristol City avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.31
Burnley avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 1–2 Bristol City (05 Sep 26).

Bristol City vs Burnley head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Bristol City have won once, Burnley have won 4 times and none ended in a draw. Bristol City scored 4 goals and Burnley scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Bristol City, away at Burnley. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 5 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Burnley kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Bristol City
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Selective shooters
Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 19th of 24 48% 17th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 24 0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    32% of xG 9th of 24 22% of xG 17th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    25% of shots 2nd of 24 12% of shots 24th of 24

Where they differ

  • Bristol City go more through the air than Burnley, 25% of shots against 12%.
  • Bristol City get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 32% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Burnley
7 (0.7 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 138 (13.8 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
37 (3.7 avg) Blocked Shots 43 (4.3 avg)
58 (5.8 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
780 (78.0 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
429 (42.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 351 (39.0 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Key Passes 94 (9.4 avg)
3845 (384.5 avg) Passes 4093 (409.3 avg)
2950 (77%) Pass Accuracy 3218 (79%)
47% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Bristol City Burnley
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
165 (16.5 avg) Tackles 155 (15.5 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 94 (9.4 avg)
17 (1.9 avg) Offsides 30 (3.3 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 403 (40.3 avg)
186 (18.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 105 (10.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Bristol City

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)