Burnley vs Birmingham

Wed 25 Nov, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burnley win 32.8%
Draw 28.0%
Birmingham win · Most likely 39.2%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 51%
Burnley clean sheet 25%Avg 28%
Birmingham clean sheet 29%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.8%
1-28.6%
0-26.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burnley
  • Birmingham

Did you know?

  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.
  • Burnley have failed to hold on to a half-time lead 4 of the last 5 times they've had one.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
27 Dec 22 Burnley 3–0 Birmingham
19 Oct 22 Birmingham 1–1 Burnley
2meetings
  • Burnley win · 1 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (50%)
  • Birmingham win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 7.00 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 3.50 League avg: 3.82
Burnley avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.31
Birmingham avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 3–0 Birmingham (27 Dec 22).

Burnley vs Birmingham head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Burnley have won once, Birmingham have not won and 1 ended in a draw. Burnley scored 4 goals and Birmingham scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 27 Dec 2022, was won 3-0 by Burnley, at home against Birmingham. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Burnley kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Birmingham
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 16th of 24 51% 10th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 18th of 24 32% of xG 9th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 24th of 24 21% of shots 8th of 24

Where they differ

  • Birmingham go more through the air than Burnley, 21% of shots against 12%.
  • Birmingham wait for better chances than Burnley, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Birmingham get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 32% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burnley Birmingham
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 21 (2.1 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 156 (15.6 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 61 (6.1 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (4.2 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
697 (77.4 avg) Attacks 793 (88.1 avg)
351 (39.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 401 (44.6 avg)
82 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 93 (10.3 avg)
4096 (409.6 avg) Passes 4236 (423.6 avg)
3225 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3248 (77%)
46% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burnley Birmingham
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
153 (15.3 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
94 (9.4 avg) Fouls 114 (11.4 avg)
30 (3.3 avg) Offsides 19 (1.9 avg)
367 (40.8 avg) Duels Won 436 (48.4 avg)
96 (10.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 165 (18.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (78%)
  • Over · 2 (22%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Birmingham

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)