Burnley vs Millwall

Sat 13 Mar, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 37 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burnley win 35.7%
Draw 27.2%
Millwall win · Most likely 37.1%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 51%
Burnley clean sheet 25%Avg 28%
Millwall clean sheet 25%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 51%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-18.5%
1-28.4%
0-25.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burnley
  • Millwall

Did you know?

  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Burnley have failed to hold on to a half-time lead 5 of the last 6 times they've had one.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Burnley's last 10 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
03 May 25 Burnley 3–1 Millwall
03 Nov 24 Millwall 1–0 Burnley
21 Feb 23 Millwall 1–1 Burnley
30 Aug 22 Burnley 2–0 Millwall
4meetings
  • Burnley win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • Millwall win · 1 (25%)
Avg. total goals 2.25 League avg: 2.62
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 75% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.25 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 2.50 League avg: 3.83
Burnley avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.31
Millwall avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Burnley 3–1 Millwall (03 May 25).

Burnley vs Millwall head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Burnley have won 2 times, Millwall have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Burnley scored 6 goals and Millwall scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 3 May 2025, was won 3-1 by Burnley, at home against Millwall. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Burnley kept 1 clean sheet and Millwall kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
Millwall
  • Selective shooters
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 17th of 24 49% 13th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 13th of 24 0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 17th of 24 35% of xG 6th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 24th of 24 22% of shots 7th of 24

Where they differ

  • Millwall go more through the air than Burnley, 22% of shots against 12%.
  • Millwall get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 35% against 22%.
  • Millwall wait for better chances than Burnley, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burnley Millwall
16 (1.6 avg) Goals 13 (1.3 avg)
138 (13.8 avg) Total Shots 135 (13.5 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
697 (77.4 avg) Attacks 913 (91.3 avg)
351 (39.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 491 (49.1 avg)
94 (9.4 avg) Key Passes 99 (9.9 avg)
4093 (409.3 avg) Passes 3530 (353.0 avg)
3218 (79%) Pass Accuracy 2608 (74%)
46% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burnley Millwall
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 24 (2.4 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 133 (13.3 avg)
94 (9.4 avg) Fouls 123 (12.3 avg)
30 (3.3 avg) Offsides 29 (2.9 avg)
403 (40.3 avg) Duels Won 531 (53.1 avg)
105 (10.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 243 (24.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Millwall

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)