Burnley vs Stoke

Sat 19 Dec, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Burnley win · Most likely 45.7%
Draw 28.1%
Stoke win 26.2%

Limited history for Burnley. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 51%
Burnley clean sheet 35%Avg 28%
Stoke clean sheet 24%Avg 22%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 54%
Over 2.5 cards 79%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 61%Avg 50%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.7%
2-19.2%
2-08.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Burnley
  • Stoke

Did you know?

  • Burnley have not lost to Stoke in their last 4 meetings.
  • Burnley have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Stoke have outscored their xG by 0.62 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Jan 25 Burnley 0–0 Stoke
30 Nov 24 Stoke 0–2 Burnley
30 Dec 22 Stoke 0–1 Burnley
05 Oct 22 Burnley 1–1 Stoke
4meetings
  • Burnley win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (50%)
  • Stoke win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 1.25 League avg: 2.61
Over 2.5 goals 0% League avg: 51%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.75 League avg: 10.31
Avg. total cards 4.25 League avg: 3.82
Burnley avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.31
Stoke avg. goals 0.25 League avg: 1.31

Biggest win: Stoke 0–2 Burnley (30 Nov 24).

Burnley vs Stoke head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Burnley have won 2 times, Stoke have not won and 2 ended in a draw. Burnley scored 4 goals and Stoke scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Jan 2025, ended 0-0 at Burnley. Burnley are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 0 had over 2.5 goals. Burnley kept 3 clean sheets and Stoke kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 24 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Burnley
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Stoke
  • Shoots on sight
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 14th of 24 47% 19th of 24
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 13th of 24 0.09 xG a shot 22nd of 24
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 18th of 24 32% of xG 8th of 24
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 24th of 24 19% of shots 10th of 24

Where they differ

  • Stoke go more through the air than Burnley, 19% of shots against 12%.
  • Stoke get more of their chances from set pieces than Burnley, 32% against 22%.
  • Burnley wait for better chances than Stoke, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Burnley Stoke
13 (1.3 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Shots on Target 37 (3.7 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Corners 52 (5.2 avg)
708 (78.7 avg) Attacks 783 (78.3 avg)
346 (38.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 358 (35.8 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Key Passes 87 (9.7 avg)
4276 (427.6 avg) Passes 3839 (383.9 avg)
3391 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3015 (79%)
48% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Burnley Stoke
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
19 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
157 (15.7 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
97 (9.7 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
31 (3.4 avg) Offsides 24 (2.4 avg)
408 (40.8 avg) Duels Won 441 (49.0 avg)
107 (10.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 152 (16.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Burnley

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Stoke

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)